Conformal coverage
Empirical coverage of each conformal method on held-out trips, overall and by bin, borough and hour, with mean interval width (lower end clipped at 0) and a 95% interval from a bootstrap that resamples whole test days (B = 2,000, seed 20190101).
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| schemeTEXT | methodTEXT | levelREAL | group_typeTEXT | group_valueTEXT | tripsINTEGER | coveredINTEGER | mean_widthREAL | daysINTEGER | ci_lowREAL | ci_highREAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | hour | 22 | 394995 | 324898 | 20.079262884562308 | 345 | 0.8195147517505449 | 0.8255343218305718 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | hour | 23 | 312090 | 252005 | 20.467054095372152 | 346 | 0.8047544363848593 | 0.8101196328108695 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | borough_bin | 0 | 683897 | 547070 | 13.752036858249452 | 347 | 0.7954657022935573 | 0.8042993646481293 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | borough_bin | 1 | 694595 | 556499 | 15.59718013798819 | 346 | 0.7982009439655717 | 0.8040280188226925 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | borough_bin | 2 | 690069 | 551236 | 16.763736518268583 | 346 | 0.7956070692744603 | 0.801719555008724 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | borough_bin | 3 | 688656 | 551068 | 17.734836507078736 | 347 | 0.7967556166333686 | 0.8034862164850156 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | borough_bin | 4 | 689453 | 551277 | 17.97744488216609 | 346 | 0.7969628847105085 | 0.8022513566070558 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | borough_bin | 5 | 693533 | 554423 | 18.721976628527628 | 345 | 0.7964523796936356 | 0.8026273040025345 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | borough_bin | 6 | 667198 | 533937 | 19.379081415154577 | 345 | 0.7971592053973541 | 0.8028851113468286 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | borough_bin | 7 | 706923 | 565702 | 20.03992943238074 | 347 | 0.7974644705090104 | 0.8028382746162186 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | borough_bin | 8 | 697520 | 558440 | 21.294994833077702 | 346 | 0.7977898293221688 | 0.8030777377817375 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | borough_bin | 9 | 688079 | 550530 | 27.893451948945984 | 346 | 0.797277577795424 | 0.8028017797359771 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | borough_bin | 10 | 8072 | 6499 | 26.311019063774552 | 341 | 0.7949000667699194 | 0.8156104909016076 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | borough_bin | 11 | 8132 | 6455 | 29.977846485649476 | 330 | 0.7815957215538509 | 0.8048279711420894 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | borough_bin | 12 | 7997 | 6261 | 31.226361015897346 | 336 | 0.7718777376849767 | 0.7942254614242352 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | borough_bin | 13 | 8106 | 6514 | 32.77370668482608 | 341 | 0.7937197996991996 | 0.8132350657363274 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | borough_bin | 14 | 8104 | 6467 | 31.978495824796546 | 344 | 0.7880972245531305 | 0.8087924554779248 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | borough_bin | 15 | 7867 | 6250 | 28.86907361930987 | 342 | 0.7848471671784991 | 0.8045293349793999 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | borough_bin | 16 | 8365 | 6669 | 20.552968528644925 | 345 | 0.7864393590597503 | 0.8083974117426243 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | borough_bin | 17 | 7989 | 6333 | 17.773235112894312 | 346 | 0.7829669593171471 | 0.8027349593887289 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | borough_bin | 18 | 7990 | 6401 | 20.738338725527115 | 345 | 0.7909330093449706 | 0.8114834320101297 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | borough_bin | 19 | 8278 | 6613 | 36.081776253913006 | 345 | 0.7881074655932839 | 0.8098146689045442 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | borough_bin | 20 | 50246 | 40224 | 25.084745637433024 | 346 | 0.7932762774201638 | 0.8076949332872211 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | borough_bin | 21 | 50758 | 40465 | 31.3138332084897 | 345 | 0.7883542674618367 | 0.8058423901330047 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | borough_bin | 22 | 51100 | 41032 | 30.757758481176708 | 345 | 0.7953962612137543 | 0.8106312854713676 |