Conformal coverage

Empirical coverage of each conformal method on held-out trips, overall and by bin, borough and hour, with mean interval width (lower end clipped at 0) and a 95% interval from a bootstrap that resamples whole test days (B = 2,000, seed 20190101).

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conformal_coverage, page 10 of 58
schemeTEXT	methodTEXT	levelREAL	group_typeTEXT	group_valueTEXT	tripsINTEGER	coveredINTEGER	mean_widthREAL	daysINTEGER	ci_lowREAL	ci_highREAL
random	mondrian_borough	0.8	borough_bin	23	50677	40472	32.08480502597042	345	0.7900842441274879	0.8068651554509114
random	mondrian_borough	0.8	borough_bin	24	50519	40410	34.82918607786313	346	0.7900221362867482	0.8097272175303288
random	mondrian_borough	0.8	borough_bin	25	50834	40619	37.491853695375056	345	0.7897544804886285	0.8086558884432603
random	mondrian_borough	0.8	borough_bin	26	50632	40405	39.24340062074979	345	0.7886829134043702	0.8072769122975781
random	mondrian_borough	0.8	borough_bin	27	50618	40549	44.86750909592636	345	0.7867339441655395	0.8151062238259731
random	mondrian_borough	0.8	borough_bin	28	50447	40384	35.53152506920435	345	0.7893803370005518	0.8111144836243581
random	mondrian_borough	0.8	borough_bin	29	50198	40382	43.28479110518307	344	0.7930035311988931	0.815886986878627
random	mondrian_borough	0.8	borough_bin	30	1045	833	38.17283816110059	298	0.7671777041942605	0.8209133786939367
random	mondrian_borough	0.8	borough_bin	31	1035	835	33.70767895913746	178	0.7777777777777778	0.8302522994749981
random	mondrian_borough	0.8	borough_bin	32	1032	823	37.01609406942609	216	0.7698533499760171	0.8234787913400134
random	mondrian_borough	0.8	borough_bin	33	884	714	36.322029830909564	187	0.7795844071416963	0.8347648400102367
random	mondrian_borough	0.8	borough_bin	34	1017	824	34.672054767059045	185	0.7864269270877741	0.8361244720163749
random	mondrian_borough	0.8	borough_bin	35	934	782	39.47974126640476	162	0.8116680264182333	0.8621471050507625
random	mondrian_borough	0.8	borough_bin	36	1011	796	35.39820396653539	173	0.7633245097564128	0.810609395006402
random	mondrian_borough	0.8	borough_bin	37	994	795	43.730760242870005	249	0.7761043906519511	0.8232746698203613
random	mondrian_borough	0.8	borough_bin	38	1037	860	46.18763348853764	267	0.8062706100903204	0.85189117282368
random	mondrian_borough	0.8	borough_bin	39	914	741	46.90786976511021	208	0.7821886226354233	0.835407154511675
random	mondrian_borough	0.8	borough_bin	40	258	206	81.73201035798776	188	0.749062178253279	0.846441947565543
random	global	0.9	all	all	7497013	6747223	25.013324933173244	347	0.8973057089293638	0.9024432396038133
random	global	0.9	bin	0	746041	721183	23.452500746625713	347	0.962841025278408	0.9707729203413827
random	global	0.9	bin	1	751838	718675	24.45432148633211	346	0.9537618769111585	0.9580046592252787
random	global	0.9	bin	2	749162	707416	24.909247028584964	347	0.9412646122333446	0.9469595547628331
random	global	0.9	bin	3	736694	691310	25.237570214055882	346	0.9354726840317982	0.9411647454019416
random	global	0.9	bin	4	761776	712174	25.345121454142742	346	0.9320082232368369	0.9376949223124461
random	global	0.9	bin	5	752116	697100	25.345121454138827	345	0.9236076220361428	0.930239197950853