Conformal coverage

Empirical coverage of each conformal method on held-out trips, overall and by bin, borough and hour, with mean interval width (lower end clipped at 0) and a 95% interval from a bootstrap that resamples whole test days (B = 2,000, seed 20190101).

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conformal_coverage, page 8 of 58
schemeTEXT	methodTEXT	levelREAL	group_typeTEXT	group_valueTEXT	tripsINTEGER	coveredINTEGER	mean_widthREAL	daysINTEGER	ci_lowREAL	ci_highREAL
random	mondrian_borough	0.8	borough	Queens	506029	404942	35.445121850492235	346	0.7941582472265006	0.8061185003506871
random	mondrian_borough	0.8	borough	Bronx	9903	8003	39.10423446194691	344	0.7998796231998355	0.8163081183890208
random	mondrian_borough	0.8	borough	Staten Island	258	206	81.73201035798776	188	0.749062178253279	0.846441947565543
random	mondrian_borough	0.8	hour	00	221721	175328	19.440073058125368	345	0.7876792682629935	0.7939478926773039
random	mondrian_borough	0.8	hour	01	153861	123180	18.624389015712445	345	0.796953647350465	0.8042142540972244
random	mondrian_borough	0.8	hour	02	106424	85316	18.819396401534156	344	0.7979162999462558	0.8053790258011223
random	mondrian_borough	0.8	hour	03	73054	57451	18.968938840214282	345	0.7809627686479287	0.7912199091974211
random	mondrian_borough	0.8	hour	04	56261	41843	19.882050306987114	345	0.7385154462912535	0.748556503646869
random	mondrian_borough	0.8	hour	05	65924	54473	18.435610155579727	346	0.8223238044127984	0.8302607900580012
random	mondrian_borough	0.8	hour	06	153536	129982	17.09161522389518	346	0.8434693093615838	0.8496968416231863
random	mondrian_borough	0.8	hour	07	272387	220899	19.021785349926823	345	0.8085435725459771	0.8135700021554099
random	mondrian_borough	0.8	hour	08	342210	271605	19.801267470209627	346	0.7905926608358255	0.7968116848074618
random	mondrian_borough	0.8	hour	09	349529	275261	19.596945911594748	346	0.7841900510326122	0.7907559274441033
random	mondrian_borough	0.8	hour	10	354160	281643	19.50251669470818	346	0.7915418443397448	0.7987528946322285
random	mondrian_borough	0.8	hour	11	371483	293926	19.34754462532786	345	0.787341979316436	0.7950544416567668
random	mondrian_borough	0.8	hour	12	392878	309682	19.38731608070238	345	0.7846821065993718	0.7917294303929161
random	mondrian_borough	0.8	hour	13	396852	313592	19.548690398574685	347	0.7866256507851211	0.7936216676977669
random	mondrian_borough	0.8	hour	14	416534	330238	21.29975873581122	346	0.789593563060456	0.7958425561497147
random	mondrian_borough	0.8	hour	15	418150	329811	22.82759871577558	347	0.785568531626834	0.7918378122440167
random	mondrian_borough	0.8	hour	16	390287	303238	23.04959503942746	346	0.7732173124178899	0.7807335524486202
random	mondrian_borough	0.8	hour	17	444650	349277	22.329185115095456	346	0.7818491017242221	0.7889911722672261
random	mondrian_borough	0.8	hour	18	493125	391791	19.43148795738425	346	0.7907149406738029	0.7981834802136674
random	mondrian_borough	0.8	hour	19	465712	379874	19.560788437105703	346	0.812203736468944	0.8190657901098547
random	mondrian_borough	0.8	hour	20	427221	351532	19.883475703993284	347	0.8200012044324386	0.8256457966613998
random	mondrian_borough	0.8	hour	21	423969	350950	19.993170048456655	345	0.8247017248602337	0.8306914333718207