Conformal coverage
Empirical coverage of each conformal method on held-out trips, overall and by bin, borough and hour, with mean interval width (lower end clipped at 0) and a 95% interval from a bootstrap that resamples whole test days (B = 2,000, seed 20190101).
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| schemeTEXT | methodTEXT | levelREAL | group_typeTEXT | group_valueTEXT | tripsINTEGER | coveredINTEGER | mean_widthREAL | daysINTEGER | ci_lowREAL | ci_highREAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| random | mondrian | 0.8 | borough_bin | 29 | 50198 | 36470 | 36.448634015408814 | 344 | 0.7120433020489547 | 0.7405120695973268 |
| random | mondrian | 0.8 | borough_bin | 30 | 1045 | 457 | 13.972014286124274 | 298 | 0.3911489712364783 | 0.4800719962742119 |
| random | mondrian | 0.8 | borough_bin | 31 | 1035 | 604 | 14.973610850852356 | 178 | 0.5496466601272312 | 0.6115795623224055 |
| random | mondrian | 0.8 | borough_bin | 32 | 1032 | 590 | 16.510970867815487 | 216 | 0.5344001090309018 | 0.60568166051726 |
| random | mondrian | 0.8 | borough_bin | 33 | 884 | 514 | 17.134974715838304 | 187 | 0.5479592892544148 | 0.6135721408094585 |
| random | mondrian | 0.8 | borough_bin | 34 | 1017 | 606 | 17.77332981098845 | 185 | 0.5650288134569645 | 0.6266566294853456 |
| random | mondrian | 0.8 | borough_bin | 35 | 934 | 580 | 18.020584798014855 | 162 | 0.58501934580978 | 0.6577129722616615 |
| random | mondrian | 0.8 | borough_bin | 36 | 1011 | 632 | 18.617899862389603 | 173 | 0.595577995122194 | 0.654870811516135 |
| random | mondrian | 0.8 | borough_bin | 37 | 994 | 562 | 19.68821834639578 | 249 | 0.536228935379716 | 0.5927780839607398 |
| random | mondrian | 0.8 | borough_bin | 38 | 1037 | 633 | 22.44295947354095 | 267 | 0.5817220634193376 | 0.6401727164007219 |
| random | mondrian | 0.8 | borough_bin | 39 | 914 | 624 | 36.272361572120424 | 208 | 0.6509889145300356 | 0.7128623934749502 |
| random | mondrian | 0.8 | borough_bin | 40 | 258 | 70 | 16.735574141858685 | 188 | 0.21456766917293232 | 0.3305102255217818 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | all | all | 7497013 | 5997795 | 20.15770935395244 | 347 | 0.7982733246034698 | 0.8017594836247905 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | bin | 0 | 746041 | 598139 | 14.019561660250714 | 347 | 0.7976098006210489 | 0.805838426520138 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | bin | 1 | 751838 | 603282 | 15.830634385831923 | 346 | 0.7995750538747667 | 0.8052874791972784 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | bin | 2 | 749162 | 598085 | 17.054671678917195 | 347 | 0.795043805692429 | 0.8015106850877243 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | bin | 3 | 736694 | 589629 | 17.87432989157933 | 346 | 0.7974532430034238 | 0.8032507486361019 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | bin | 4 | 761776 | 609172 | 18.302478565702515 | 346 | 0.7969344169998152 | 0.8023760415216975 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | bin | 5 | 752116 | 601873 | 19.06877452205023 | 345 | 0.7974162339599821 | 0.8031965254633695 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | bin | 6 | 738417 | 590815 | 19.816815242717556 | 347 | 0.797122737737994 | 0.802723665043095 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | bin | 7 | 761703 | 611192 | 20.906652598133032 | 345 | 0.7998512496142511 | 0.8047921027065997 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | bin | 8 | 751753 | 614668 | 25.656240056342366 | 346 | 0.8152650995340498 | 0.819928376433465 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | bin | 9 | 747513 | 580940 | 33.02623128627312 | 346 | 0.7718011617466444 | 0.7824912753665018 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | borough | Manhattan | 6899923 | 5520182 | 18.919327532867847 | 347 | 0.7984207423432284 | 0.8016515727696749 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | borough | Brooklyn | 80900 | 64462 | 27.640423097255862 | 346 | 0.792754672582217 | 0.8010432126412914 |