Conformal coverage

Empirical coverage of each conformal method on held-out trips, overall and by bin, borough and hour, with mean interval width (lower end clipped at 0) and a 95% interval from a bootstrap that resamples whole test days (B = 2,000, seed 20190101).

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conformal_coverage, page 6 of 58
schemeTEXT	methodTEXT	levelREAL	group_typeTEXT	group_valueTEXT	tripsINTEGER	coveredINTEGER	mean_widthREAL	daysINTEGER	ci_lowREAL	ci_highREAL
random	mondrian	0.8	borough_bin	4	689453	552914	18.137440660688863	346	0.7992626046484689	0.8045931630865655
random	mondrian	0.8	borough_bin	5	693533	555708	18.76417160521696	345	0.7979656990938465	0.8045499655641801
random	mondrian	0.8	borough_bin	6	667198	533963	19.442289440555122	345	0.7971806738802197	0.8030022825416456
random	mondrian	0.8	borough_bin	7	706923	567607	20.19021138149966	347	0.8001796226918686	0.8056573164527749
random	mondrian	0.8	borough_bin	8	697520	564366	21.99111283381808	346	0.8064583249717171	0.8116269595018394
random	mondrian	0.8	borough_bin	9	688079	559921	28.69019679356751	346	0.8101078203923991	0.8174247899385474
random	mondrian	0.8	borough_bin	10	8072	5153	17.997158462859886	341	0.6247547990890424	0.6516708498619995
random	mondrian	0.8	borough_bin	11	8132	5512	21.67483074794332	330	0.664876891786818	0.690401755877939
random	mondrian	0.8	borough_bin	12	7997	5589	24.055325308987282	336	0.6856510828857546	0.7119872191137269
random	mondrian	0.8	borough_bin	13	8106	5583	24.055325308987307	341	0.6777163992186552	0.699756979967361
random	mondrian	0.8	borough_bin	14	8104	5264	24.055325308987307	344	0.6377680724949458	0.6615355766270017
random	mondrian	0.8	borough_bin	15	7867	6684	34.10293213874062	342	0.8380038037036431	0.861291655306055
random	mondrian	0.8	borough_bin	16	8365	7694	36.44863401542979	345	0.9130826515130436	0.9265771910467867
random	mondrian	0.8	borough_bin	17	7989	7028	36.44863401542863	346	0.8723091661133953	0.8868325961948805
random	mondrian	0.8	borough_bin	18	7990	6688	36.44863401542863	345	0.8277993272705161	0.8462383763998892
random	mondrian	0.8	borough_bin	19	8278	5374	36.44863401542953	345	0.6375774858008555	0.6609377348446893
random	mondrian	0.8	borough_bin	20	50246	34265	20.80834279093095	346	0.6757945365720148	0.6881660465099523
random	mondrian	0.8	borough_bin	21	50758	39695	35.09938022464435	345	0.7695411270866729	0.7939694606530652
random	mondrian	0.8	borough_bin	22	51100	43350	36.44863401540859	345	0.8420272186517176	0.855026557769897
random	mondrian	0.8	borough_bin	23	50677	43023	36.44863401540869	345	0.8422190923449375	0.855761202456175
random	mondrian	0.8	borough_bin	24	50519	41375	36.44863401540873	346	0.8089986583607331	0.8285168913235234
random	mondrian	0.8	borough_bin	25	50834	40215	36.44863401540866	345	0.7801143480551901	0.8022887674891951
random	mondrian	0.8	borough_bin	26	50632	38900	36.44863401540871	345	0.757115480083176	0.7788182371880749
random	mondrian	0.8	borough_bin	27	50618	32048	36.44863401540871	345	0.6198489023235596	0.6450205553184507
random	mondrian	0.8	borough_bin	28	50447	37885	36.44863401540875	345	0.7390565811957831	0.762199706274005