Conformal coverage

Empirical coverage of each conformal method on held-out trips, overall and by bin, borough and hour, with mean interval width (lower end clipped at 0) and a 95% interval from a bootstrap that resamples whole test days (B = 2,000, seed 20190101).

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conformal_coverage, page 5 of 58
schemeTEXT	methodTEXT	levelREAL	group_typeTEXT	group_valueTEXT	tripsINTEGER	coveredINTEGER	mean_widthREAL	daysINTEGER	ci_lowREAL	ci_highREAL
random	mondrian	0.8	hour	03	73054	57423	19.28606943662012	345	0.7808662950517667	0.7906730217299889
random	mondrian	0.8	hour	04	56261	42678	20.64743170780434	345	0.7541415103602934	0.7627342216008041
random	mondrian	0.8	hour	05	65924	55156	18.983049990719834	346	0.8326952018877569	0.8406710728597375
random	mondrian	0.8	hour	06	153536	130406	17.313078426735984	346	0.8463376676367249	0.8524926778267891
random	mondrian	0.8	hour	07	272387	221161	19.22500291601057	345	0.8094211360268566	0.814443220072559
random	mondrian	0.8	hour	08	342210	271733	19.94171737097863	346	0.7910401669808386	0.7970563229529137
random	mondrian	0.8	hour	09	349529	275328	19.74287755408313	346	0.7844487190093279	0.7909152248128676
random	mondrian	0.8	hour	10	354160	281968	19.68441408121443	346	0.7925874825735941	0.7995507781161983
random	mondrian	0.8	hour	11	371483	294262	19.552005882214857	345	0.7882621567972644	0.7958197834026662
random	mondrian	0.8	hour	12	392878	310040	19.616507399240426	345	0.785699946806866	0.792585052043773
random	mondrian	0.8	hour	13	396852	314392	19.802276159233365	347	0.7887832245192498	0.7955345355931199
random	mondrian	0.8	hour	14	416534	330876	21.455974274266644	346	0.7909381756120903	0.7974556629392929
random	mondrian	0.8	hour	15	418150	329959	22.779552726951977	347	0.7857078249066639	0.7923551481884802
random	mondrian	0.8	hour	16	390287	303175	22.878589990222352	346	0.7728624719403326	0.7807319852435534
random	mondrian	0.8	hour	17	444650	349231	22.23496020831786	346	0.7816730176760467	0.788902980627711
random	mondrian	0.8	hour	18	493125	392345	19.58835801513502	346	0.7917793390273208	0.7992540180914675
random	mondrian	0.8	hour	19	465712	380209	19.710049130140884	346	0.812962843438917	0.8195808996393645
random	mondrian	0.8	hour	20	427221	351250	20.033592820333006	347	0.8193413665775853	0.8249448120395813
random	mondrian	0.8	hour	21	423969	350382	20.166796472633788	345	0.8235041207687327	0.8293801605978426
random	mondrian	0.8	hour	22	394995	324078	20.29273596927552	345	0.8175529031344099	0.823431756793655
random	mondrian	0.8	hour	23	312090	250446	20.711759633080064	346	0.7998378868460225	0.8049998437920903
random	mondrian	0.8	borough_bin	0	683897	550192	13.971553870597774	347	0.8001205310151285	0.8087508863733458
random	mondrian	0.8	borough_bin	1	694595	556158	15.603363201948797	346	0.7977902718575576	0.8035595410361602
random	mondrian	0.8	borough_bin	2	690069	552385	16.91405383844537	346	0.7974600017349867	0.8033643300990898
random	mondrian	0.8	borough_bin	3	688656	550782	17.700619505476983	347	0.7962437542546974	0.8030167271768188