Conformal coverage

Empirical coverage of each conformal method on held-out trips, overall and by bin, borough and hour, with mean interval width (lower end clipped at 0) and a 95% interval from a bootstrap that resamples whole test days (B = 2,000, seed 20190101).

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conformal_coverage, page 51 of 58
schemeTEXT	methodTEXT	levelREAL	group_typeTEXT	group_valueTEXT	tripsINTEGER	coveredINTEGER	mean_widthREAL	daysINTEGER	ci_lowREAL	ci_highREAL
temporal	global	0.95	borough_bin	7	1024360	972724	31.306591099309102	61	0.9434346542771475	0.9546484683216349
temporal	global	0.95	borough_bin	8	852521	799983	31.71756630443312	61	0.9296710896557662	0.944911318618053
temporal	global	0.95	borough_bin	9	976843	826614	33.6933636388049	61	0.830907690661423	0.8593877672648816
temporal	global	0.95	borough_bin	10	19800	17544	29.796772274701507	61	0.8779996828560666	0.8941842515173937
temporal	global	0.95	borough_bin	11	10195	8929	31.95275959419904	61	0.8636955983710548	0.8899060021196261
temporal	global	0.95	borough_bin	12	11499	10131	32.59204628384126	61	0.863155183693418	0.9016711020060961
temporal	global	0.95	borough_bin	13	8191	7266	33.124529563168416	61	0.8687669660590975	0.9106247800600712
temporal	global	0.95	borough_bin	14	9031	8180	33.674680472323494	61	0.8874661862154107	0.9262265210947037
temporal	global	0.95	borough_bin	15	13010	12142	34.33773299200981	61	0.9176117348577559	0.9511598344013567
temporal	global	0.95	borough_bin	16	12166	11616	35.190342127195436	61	0.9381831627258311	0.9701393427662525
temporal	global	0.95	borough_bin	17	11766	11456	35.41239122982457	61	0.9683094971964561	0.9786365681124489
temporal	global	0.95	borough_bin	18	11107	10402	35.41239122982463	61	0.9298684332088395	0.9429316547563151
temporal	global	0.95	borough_bin	19	10009	7351	35.41239122982473	61	0.7232788840101381	0.7446062651828332
temporal	global	0.95	borough_bin	20	67584	63504	30.810281842586495	61	0.9343177076087364	0.944501859106427
temporal	global	0.95	borough_bin	21	137085	122863	35.22677758970267	61	0.885759984094465	0.9057705957764605
temporal	global	0.95	borough_bin	22	77022	66556	35.412391229853	61	0.8491166388652649	0.8787969689605997
temporal	global	0.95	borough_bin	23	69203	56301	35.41239122983659	61	0.7869048218774309	0.8425372077291635
temporal	global	0.95	borough_bin	24	65234	48800	35.412391229826746	61	0.7097801041012946	0.7883722401390983
temporal	global	0.95	borough_bin	25	71692	49170	35.4123912298422	61	0.6502533473538614	0.7222204605136762
temporal	global	0.95	borough_bin	26	91305	62008	35.41239122987574	61	0.6511567290123984	0.707224313227042
temporal	global	0.95	borough_bin	27	101312	70660	35.412391229887845	61	0.655236975833584	0.7340778620174726
temporal	global	0.95	borough_bin	28	67805	52169	35.41239122983325	61	0.7398036519969269	0.8005774932389687
temporal	global	0.95	borough_bin	29	79889	47445	35.412391229858216	61	0.5560154386068217	0.6317434695356092
temporal	global	0.95	borough_bin	30	2283	1874	27.402392096632923	60	0.767823691460055	0.8544823272176344
temporal	global	0.95	borough_bin	31	1709	1497	29.216875071743257	54	0.8480046888360162	0.8983170235357542