Conformal coverage

Empirical coverage of each conformal method on held-out trips, overall and by bin, borough and hour, with mean interval width (lower end clipped at 0) and a 95% interval from a bootstrap that resamples whole test days (B = 2,000, seed 20190101).

1,440 rows Download CSV

conformal_coverage, page 52 of 58
schemeTEXT	methodTEXT	levelREAL	group_typeTEXT	group_valueTEXT	tripsINTEGER	coveredINTEGER	mean_widthREAL	daysINTEGER	ci_lowREAL	ci_highREAL
temporal	global	0.95	borough_bin	32	1297	1132	29.643759884991947	45	0.8386495352059816	0.8938457533525671
temporal	global	0.95	borough_bin	33	806	655	29.966357887899957	50	0.7628405923344949	0.8504895539757216
temporal	global	0.95	borough_bin	34	1222	1022	30.25917440627331	52	0.8088696438550125	0.8555940123341945
temporal	global	0.95	borough_bin	35	1116	898	30.63056421115327	52	0.759679938639244	0.8341524293610606
temporal	global	0.95	borough_bin	36	1294	1014	31.518160954840784	56	0.7510722442730574	0.8067364742867544
temporal	global	0.95	borough_bin	37	392	223	34.69701543857168	60	0.5176686024280661	0.6163417516563686
temporal	global	0.95	borough_bin	38	394	151	28.09958087163391	60	0.34615384615384615	0.4207985930171964
temporal	mondrian	0.95	all	all	12936277	12203709	31.146906595808517	61	0.9408189750674429	0.9460010367588092
temporal	mondrian	0.95	bin	0	2538711	2383048	22.60690800327761	61	0.9326943422603918	0.9447776445294173
temporal	mondrian	0.95	bin	1	1319429	1247311	25.619139786594758	61	0.9415457465092185	0.9488885874444511
temporal	mondrian	0.95	bin	2	1193339	1122215	27.171326733898844	61	0.9356572446976237	0.9455445422765111
temporal	mondrian	0.95	bin	3	1390045	1313421	28.28032909409168	61	0.9410134521067361	0.9486294554455067
temporal	mondrian	0.95	bin	4	1105546	1046829	29.059883139967486	61	0.9441137612596618	0.9496912244382704
temporal	mondrian	0.95	bin	5	1177540	1115195	30.022776405860785	61	0.9431031724861153	0.950324302488367
temporal	mondrian	0.95	bin	6	821295	776322	31.112076359581888	61	0.9420796621476967	0.9482834118320255
temporal	mondrian	0.95	bin	7	1245994	1181690	32.67901766602467	61	0.9444835110457867	0.9514543230634463
temporal	mondrian	0.95	bin	8	927343	880312	38.039497627976814	61	0.9454921504284413	0.9523901777111764
temporal	mondrian	0.95	bin	9	1217035	1137366	58.312754546088556	61	0.9272135794665497	0.9420273962777522
temporal	mondrian	0.95	borough	Manhattan	11980859	11316712	29.249747886115355	61	0.9417833150570158	0.9473071688593258
temporal	mondrian	0.95	borough	Brooklyn	116774	109477	45.30858016710155	61	0.9295610619259503	0.9447218227051459
temporal	mondrian	0.95	borough	Queens	828131	769453	56.64006459005109	61	0.9203422501551041	0.9372807108337337
temporal	mondrian	0.95	borough	Bronx	10119	7924	27.849230902410305	60	0.7692883375524259	0.7965954862050234
temporal	mondrian	0.95	borough	Staten Island	394	143	24.980641926364896	60	0.3231532589547857	0.4020120183161237
temporal	mondrian	0.95	hour	00	395335	373147	30.2653295181584	61	0.9380339154380983	0.9486732508117935
temporal	mondrian	0.95	hour	01	277323	262248	28.671203797730023	61	0.9416582512788624	0.9495034932456335