Conformal coverage

Empirical coverage of each conformal method on held-out trips, overall and by bin, borough and hour, with mean interval width (lower end clipped at 0) and a 95% interval from a bootstrap that resamples whole test days (B = 2,000, seed 20190101).

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conformal_coverage, page 50 of 58
schemeTEXT	methodTEXT	levelREAL	group_typeTEXT	group_valueTEXT	tripsINTEGER	coveredINTEGER	mean_widthREAL	daysINTEGER	ci_lowREAL	ci_highREAL
temporal	global	0.95	hour	06	234436	227685	29.04509370506222	61	0.9689174595808462	0.9733720864348288
temporal	global	0.95	hour	07	441447	425270	30.36032416959154	61	0.9606283544752465	0.9659311708006821
temporal	global	0.95	hour	08	559786	531864	30.57910790620655	61	0.9443301997075494	0.9554805200529929
temporal	global	0.95	hour	09	586141	555817	30.432918765284185	61	0.9412091324275377	0.9552271359275308
temporal	global	0.95	hour	10	612439	580506	30.33154709376292	61	0.9397980737670171	0.9558481925288043
temporal	global	0.95	hour	11	656778	619674	30.23705163843272	61	0.9351284896001464	0.9521198093690715
temporal	global	0.95	hour	12	701132	659675	30.24611734030737	61	0.9331512108883705	0.9485365350833636
temporal	global	0.95	hour	13	707271	661181	30.300017500119353	61	0.9276995708462158	0.9420294384405997
temporal	global	0.95	hour	14	739876	682329	30.895533712111135	61	0.9138196113273588	0.9304788713869003
temporal	global	0.95	hour	15	745506	680029	31.2950611929373	61	0.9026804575997953	0.9216107940827215
temporal	global	0.95	hour	16	685595	616471	31.28129888289322	61	0.8885282594347624	0.9095903845792656
temporal	global	0.95	hour	17	766241	691836	31.09357508035726	61	0.8942105482295856	0.9120875896894548
temporal	global	0.95	hour	18	836959	772969	30.30786652775168	61	0.9165726760049131	0.9312999956002804
temporal	global	0.95	hour	19	794554	752914	30.380042776628787	61	0.9415291849558239	0.9537646251577276
temporal	global	0.95	hour	20	726724	695821	30.46841873464171	61	0.9518929506196799	0.9627359316379505
temporal	global	0.95	hour	21	731784	702952	30.50929796870758	61	0.9556974099701873	0.965143458664299
temporal	global	0.95	hour	22	680671	651360	30.56906870055995	61	0.9517409112620555	0.9619936618465073
temporal	global	0.95	hour	23	543847	519479	30.680990138788943	61	0.9504810714724063	0.9598630541083467
temporal	global	0.95	borough_bin	0	2409977	2352613	27.89415592509767	61	0.9716162243070865	0.9812455554514292
temporal	global	0.95	borough_bin	1	1275639	1240923	29.332995087217018	61	0.9691525207507558	0.9762548391642711
temporal	global	0.95	borough_bin	2	1086441	1046897	29.76072520564256	61	0.9579391178271399	0.9704016608862592
temporal	global	0.95	borough_bin	3	1168823	1127666	30.072087790705076	61	0.9602364890662278	0.9690786152285747
temporal	global	0.95	borough_bin	4	1042608	1006184	30.34685039193028	61	0.960766623347105	0.969229300372876
temporal	global	0.95	borough_bin	5	1266240	1212074	30.60985519478522	61	0.9537617074752732	0.9607170637376605
temporal	global	0.95	borough_bin	6	877407	835867	30.916865341784234	61	0.9466910324062838	0.9577088253964435