Conformal coverage

Empirical coverage of each conformal method on held-out trips, overall and by bin, borough and hour, with mean interval width (lower end clipped at 0) and a 95% interval from a bootstrap that resamples whole test days (B = 2,000, seed 20190101).

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conformal_coverage, page 49 of 58
schemeTEXT	methodTEXT	levelREAL	group_typeTEXT	group_valueTEXT	tripsINTEGER	coveredINTEGER	mean_widthREAL	daysINTEGER	ci_lowREAL	ci_highREAL
temporal	mondrian_borough	0.9	borough_bin	36	1294	1175	61.462655648779794	56	0.8932339406309576	0.9263118341283743
temporal	mondrian_borough	0.9	borough_bin	37	392	294	63.756411987887766	60	0.7066177206950078	0.7897608175144807
temporal	mondrian_borough	0.9	borough_bin	38	394	358	94.77976078889081	60	0.8822055137844611	0.9340404462108813
temporal	global	0.95	all	all	12936277	12174504	30.524979033152373	61	0.9368717894169959	0.9456979090847553
temporal	global	0.95	bin	0	2538711	2475637	27.94075112880675	61	0.9706208186622641	0.9801447987033456
temporal	global	0.95	bin	1	1319429	1283864	29.381488486365374	61	0.9698523383369764	0.9761903484306562
temporal	global	0.95	bin	2	1193339	1149789	29.8220606738927	61	0.9580583323562584	0.9695730253025242
temporal	global	0.95	bin	3	1390045	1340089	30.165434747328362	61	0.9594588972097494	0.9686049464330286
temporal	global	0.95	bin	4	1105546	1062569	30.461345971777252	61	0.9578288698550103	0.9644651577734173
temporal	global	0.95	bin	5	1177540	1125735	30.720991957194272	61	0.9510202361432876	0.9602316624858395
temporal	global	0.95	bin	6	821295	781332	31.09038737927937	61	0.9458177614111289	0.95637821548364
temporal	global	0.95	bin	7	1245994	1177551	31.485298257985683	61	0.9384859097756413	0.9502872197817901
temporal	global	0.95	bin	8	927343	845764	32.415250274621584	61	0.9033888226283637	0.9192551281744665
temporal	global	0.95	bin	9	1217035	932174	35.318310696579935	61	0.7463361320343918	0.786777293310342
temporal	global	0.95	borough	Manhattan	11980859	11421545	30.187569203093968	61	0.950042638389389	0.9570132008913417
temporal	global	0.95	borough	Brooklyn	116774	105017	33.44271270389248	61	0.8942437344695051	0.9043242684534639
temporal	global	0.95	borough	Queens	828131	639476	35.00608618101999	61	0.7482719340612618	0.79598599643763
temporal	global	0.95	borough	Bronx	10119	8315	29.710276983328406	60	0.8070206854673829	0.8359339710955637
temporal	global	0.95	borough	Staten Island	394	151	28.09958087163391	60	0.34615384615384615	0.4207985930171964
temporal	global	0.95	hour	00	395335	378267	30.274485905691527	61	0.9525520242308108	0.9609475262570117
temporal	global	0.95	hour	01	277323	269277	29.971264882487308	61	0.968135991881716	0.9737256899114707
temporal	global	0.95	hour	02	185881	181854	30.130019023540058	61	0.9764798343421914	0.9799301122120231
temporal	global	0.95	hour	03	125358	122422	30.280454264760763	61	0.9741791415277294	0.9785347205737265
temporal	global	0.95	hour	04	94486	91325	30.641481910879577	61	0.9643238544975709	0.9684710289019842
temporal	global	0.95	hour	05	106707	103527	29.430851657720243	61	0.9678973778188206	0.9723454205075218