Conformal coverage
Empirical coverage of each conformal method on held-out trips, overall and by bin, borough and hour, with mean interval width (lower end clipped at 0) and a 95% interval from a bootstrap that resamples whole test days (B = 2,000, seed 20190101).
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| schemeTEXT | methodTEXT | levelREAL | group_typeTEXT | group_valueTEXT | tripsINTEGER | coveredINTEGER | mean_widthREAL | daysINTEGER | ci_lowREAL | ci_highREAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | borough_bin | 11 | 10195 | 9258 | 40.38259838397397 | 61 | 0.8920501584881213 | 0.9199836391899266 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | borough_bin | 12 | 11499 | 10448 | 41.51149615323743 | 61 | 0.8953800780773052 | 0.9189072362149115 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | borough_bin | 13 | 8191 | 7341 | 42.61059242097091 | 61 | 0.8803218149249236 | 0.9085808060386141 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | borough_bin | 14 | 9031 | 8140 | 42.828774588710374 | 61 | 0.8910426538199746 | 0.9116719896003488 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | borough_bin | 15 | 13010 | 12021 | 41.13649399636711 | 61 | 0.9166009275095114 | 0.9302862549071158 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | borough_bin | 16 | 12166 | 10892 | 31.979522375738238 | 61 | 0.8826928600510825 | 0.9085400001866449 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | borough_bin | 17 | 11766 | 10663 | 25.649638900742353 | 61 | 0.8972215428113607 | 0.9147447034104914 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | borough_bin | 18 | 11107 | 10048 | 27.822969977097493 | 61 | 0.895081687336146 | 0.9133775683383828 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | borough_bin | 19 | 10009 | 8928 | 45.47932004415944 | 61 | 0.8822675570944334 | 0.9010513356970729 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | borough_bin | 20 | 67584 | 62217 | 34.229675708804685 | 61 | 0.911363639228222 | 0.9295462470523677 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | borough_bin | 21 | 137085 | 126593 | 41.31896609772694 | 61 | 0.9117753716641376 | 0.9325775656934193 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | borough_bin | 22 | 77022 | 68437 | 39.82669260538321 | 61 | 0.8780131194817523 | 0.8998675819000479 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | borough_bin | 23 | 69203 | 60163 | 41.86364008146824 | 61 | 0.8537130063045177 | 0.8852148898515386 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | borough_bin | 24 | 65234 | 55761 | 44.093285803553634 | 61 | 0.8287635486678898 | 0.879298274285834 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | borough_bin | 25 | 71692 | 61614 | 47.51707338925205 | 61 | 0.837503477862799 | 0.8793531582661103 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | borough_bin | 26 | 91305 | 78144 | 51.33528995919659 | 61 | 0.8368801512385874 | 0.8727899361529867 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | borough_bin | 27 | 101312 | 90002 | 57.667817637729314 | 61 | 0.8684075389646659 | 0.9060649563109713 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | borough_bin | 28 | 67805 | 59048 | 45.308356859753026 | 61 | 0.8497615256314679 | 0.8924992554569764 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | borough_bin | 29 | 79889 | 67880 | 55.53181220776676 | 61 | 0.823740200268307 | 0.8729304057439266 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | borough_bin | 30 | 2283 | 2112 | 47.693643988081355 | 60 | 0.8952067466556645 | 0.9444660014754483 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | borough_bin | 31 | 1709 | 1507 | 44.13053030625301 | 54 | 0.8645658163343617 | 0.8988922268043547 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | borough_bin | 32 | 1297 | 1201 | 47.68819850544422 | 45 | 0.9047192868215871 | 0.9391693092787706 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | borough_bin | 33 | 806 | 722 | 50.507534567531515 | 50 | 0.8671842830882353 | 0.9235141011529925 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | borough_bin | 34 | 1222 | 1098 | 48.755379177817225 | 52 | 0.8755508088173358 | 0.9173557599037753 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | borough_bin | 35 | 1116 | 984 | 49.93088154608266 | 52 | 0.8577076875017071 | 0.901077541015371 |