Conformal coverage
Empirical coverage of each conformal method on held-out trips, overall and by bin, borough and hour, with mean interval width (lower end clipped at 0) and a 95% interval from a bootstrap that resamples whole test days (B = 2,000, seed 20190101).
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| schemeTEXT | methodTEXT | levelREAL | group_typeTEXT | group_valueTEXT | tripsINTEGER | coveredINTEGER | mean_widthREAL | daysINTEGER | ci_lowREAL | ci_highREAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | hour | 10 | 612439 | 546521 | 24.414803386051414 | 61 | 0.8842095031424979 | 0.8999229259648459 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | hour | 11 | 656778 | 581595 | 24.092699140873474 | 61 | 0.8768130938014157 | 0.8931906539523056 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | hour | 12 | 701132 | 617702 | 24.17745721312551 | 61 | 0.8732912660261889 | 0.8878144066773092 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | hour | 13 | 707271 | 619917 | 24.422139400211123 | 61 | 0.8695847508778018 | 0.8828548074723446 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | hour | 14 | 739876 | 652807 | 26.3899674247991 | 61 | 0.8760552332048903 | 0.8887926908520435 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | hour | 15 | 745506 | 655848 | 27.83302020348679 | 61 | 0.8730579702814915 | 0.8863486088537865 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | hour | 16 | 685595 | 593171 | 27.875758061876816 | 61 | 0.856560107915721 | 0.8733992245743039 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | hour | 17 | 766241 | 663564 | 27.21040633616635 | 61 | 0.8574365187054523 | 0.8740523389023215 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | hour | 18 | 836959 | 724359 | 24.35922058144657 | 61 | 0.8563018369582702 | 0.8747617806353059 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | hour | 19 | 794554 | 705707 | 24.588239315583348 | 61 | 0.8784711772791921 | 0.8973314483839896 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | hour | 20 | 726724 | 654416 | 24.945697895365235 | 61 | 0.892523364085889 | 0.9080260696658876 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | hour | 21 | 731784 | 662717 | 25.059695903005146 | 61 | 0.898138474423651 | 0.9125680945809271 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | hour | 22 | 680671 | 614786 | 25.2065097392784 | 61 | 0.8955011379120714 | 0.9105464716597423 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | hour | 23 | 543847 | 489988 | 25.591167862188843 | 61 | 0.8948540360439583 | 0.9066299833874458 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | borough_bin | 0 | 2409977 | 2120919 | 17.892328951829022 | 61 | 0.8708419177932873 | 0.8903856154512703 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | borough_bin | 1 | 1275639 | 1136239 | 20.6697430536883 | 61 | 0.8846057410857422 | 0.8965031450408429 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | borough_bin | 2 | 1086441 | 958136 | 21.90638918933341 | 61 | 0.874784215533571 | 0.8902313696765618 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | borough_bin | 3 | 1168823 | 1042276 | 23.013630366943943 | 61 | 0.8861081755530246 | 0.8970930690374183 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | borough_bin | 4 | 1042608 | 932861 | 23.34486126154763 | 61 | 0.8896062035946469 | 0.8998081249148019 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | borough_bin | 5 | 1266240 | 1129907 | 24.29238896810997 | 61 | 0.8878852684936975 | 0.896680516307439 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | borough_bin | 6 | 877407 | 780179 | 25.004339271449982 | 61 | 0.8820841939929397 | 0.8958953853508231 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | borough_bin | 7 | 1024360 | 912401 | 25.849042754676773 | 61 | 0.8843997438014023 | 0.8959998638289052 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | borough_bin | 8 | 852521 | 761691 | 27.368901215576145 | 61 | 0.8864647968981958 | 0.9000207149598742 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | borough_bin | 9 | 976843 | 865153 | 36.449012082997136 | 61 | 0.8765521504946896 | 0.8929268279274335 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | borough_bin | 10 | 19800 | 18098 | 36.642707241719 | 61 | 0.9088339631697889 | 0.9201427073843741 |