Conformal coverage
Empirical coverage of each conformal method on held-out trips, overall and by bin, borough and hour, with mean interval width (lower end clipped at 0) and a 95% interval from a bootstrap that resamples whole test days (B = 2,000, seed 20190101).
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| schemeTEXT | methodTEXT | levelREAL | group_typeTEXT | group_valueTEXT | tripsINTEGER | coveredINTEGER | mean_widthREAL | daysINTEGER | ci_lowREAL | ci_highREAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | bin | 0 | 2538711 | 2236913 | 18.168371262433375 | 61 | 0.8720648783702275 | 0.8911546789366419 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | bin | 1 | 1319429 | 1176540 | 20.862141414562263 | 61 | 0.8860822243983498 | 0.8972048444410355 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | bin | 2 | 1193339 | 1055189 | 22.19274692421373 | 61 | 0.87687246813979 | 0.8921160221621686 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | bin | 3 | 1390045 | 1239545 | 23.188026604802637 | 61 | 0.8860787786032812 | 0.8972902394219422 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | bin | 4 | 1105546 | 988491 | 23.862516918229343 | 61 | 0.8905324070692759 | 0.8977026639907675 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | bin | 5 | 1177540 | 1050689 | 24.610201542623717 | 61 | 0.885987707728075 | 0.897868032610119 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | bin | 6 | 821295 | 731001 | 25.51931630189844 | 61 | 0.8851905714578133 | 0.8950554224438182 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | bin | 7 | 1245994 | 1112853 | 26.701262485185293 | 61 | 0.8873778128268002 | 0.8987114985835734 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | bin | 8 | 927343 | 849265 | 33.82565965519397 | 61 | 0.9083476291805693 | 0.923297215142179 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | bin | 9 | 1217035 | 1044423 | 43.10930243715187 | 61 | 0.8471765222245629 | 0.8692662476482829 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | borough | Manhattan | 11980859 | 10639762 | 23.59103452364932 | 61 | 0.8838549705778654 | 0.8922716274191758 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | borough | Brooklyn | 116774 | 105837 | 37.171386295628515 | 61 | 0.9024619246547119 | 0.9099955684870434 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | borough | Queens | 828131 | 729859 | 46.20441690628676 | 61 | 0.8680057817640368 | 0.8938773921850611 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | borough | Bronx | 10119 | 9093 | 50.073273931278244 | 60 | 0.8887727396539133 | 0.9089047160261541 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | borough | Staten Island | 394 | 358 | 94.77976078889081 | 60 | 0.8822055137844611 | 0.9340404462108813 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | hour | 00 | 395335 | 352701 | 24.549052265868106 | 61 | 0.8844515495447136 | 0.8986920139671459 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | hour | 01 | 277323 | 248576 | 23.33454790094291 | 61 | 0.890158445972084 | 0.9015477039008022 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | hour | 02 | 185881 | 167175 | 23.70606681497584 | 61 | 0.8943953997677849 | 0.9036889698277782 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | hour | 03 | 125358 | 111259 | 24.11187161914791 | 61 | 0.8815424121829014 | 0.8921081652819751 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | hour | 04 | 94486 | 81044 | 25.389862947710476 | 61 | 0.8505982794426297 | 0.8640309989298283 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | hour | 05 | 106707 | 97305 | 24.361057696931354 | 61 | 0.9060041311782595 | 0.9175847658893431 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | hour | 06 | 234436 | 218107 | 22.228245963644756 | 61 | 0.9258343514230137 | 0.9347932821966607 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | hour | 07 | 441447 | 400694 | 24.479215293066567 | 61 | 0.9044182319609375 | 0.9110734909938832 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | hour | 08 | 559786 | 501950 | 25.036548613434448 | 61 | 0.8901976246922774 | 0.9023716431246013 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | hour | 09 | 586141 | 523000 | 24.651359390731038 | 61 | 0.8843694058216991 | 0.8989643125590131 |