Conformal coverage

Empirical coverage of each conformal method on held-out trips, overall and by bin, borough and hour, with mean interval width (lower end clipped at 0) and a 95% interval from a bootstrap that resamples whole test days (B = 2,000, seed 20190101).

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conformal_coverage, page 45 of 58
schemeTEXT	methodTEXT	levelREAL	group_typeTEXT	group_valueTEXT	tripsINTEGER	coveredINTEGER	mean_widthREAL	daysINTEGER	ci_lowREAL	ci_highREAL
temporal	mondrian	0.9	borough_bin	15	13010	12681	45.67048661137549	61	0.9689167598337128	0.9818964688124193
temporal	mondrian	0.9	borough_bin	16	12166	11907	46.59155134330411	61	0.9710598565213446	0.9862502485656717
temporal	mondrian	0.9	borough_bin	17	11766	11659	47.39878046917465	61	0.9883668663444051	0.9932305592974833
temporal	mondrian	0.9	borough_bin	18	11107	10760	47.4509765860421	61	0.9640097387805897	0.9731904324175832
temporal	mondrian	0.9	borough_bin	19	10009	8012	47.45097658604336	61	0.7919106213059386	0.8090158294516229
temporal	mondrian	0.9	borough_bin	20	67584	55420	26.172011170309997	61	0.812826552272604	0.8270971723494166
temporal	mondrian	0.9	borough_bin	21	137085	129092	46.26487053472993	61	0.925730245658557	0.952799440823979
temporal	mondrian	0.9	borough_bin	22	77022	72248	47.450976585996436	61	0.9312088832478597	0.9450525092550515
temporal	mondrian	0.9	borough_bin	23	69203	63302	47.4509765859995	61	0.9017855714369453	0.9267126676981265
temporal	mondrian	0.9	borough_bin	24	65234	57690	47.45097658600134	61	0.8605789315598105	0.9062445092461345
temporal	mondrian	0.9	borough_bin	25	71692	61481	47.450976585998454	61	0.8336693618807751	0.8788977276821206
temporal	mondrian	0.9	borough_bin	26	91305	75460	47.450976585992194	61	0.8054124326150387	0.8457668429369704
temporal	mondrian	0.9	borough_bin	27	101312	78201	47.45097658598994	61	0.7324240829262991	0.8054579135507349
temporal	mondrian	0.9	borough_bin	28	67805	59049	47.450976586000124	61	0.8511042866768949	0.8918606479231401
temporal	mondrian	0.9	borough_bin	29	79889	62234	47.45097658599546	61	0.7485941966346804	0.8073006516661034
temporal	mondrian	0.9	borough_bin	30	2283	1522	18.17154073264239	60	0.6081608911369645	0.7034406693618406
temporal	mondrian	0.9	borough_bin	31	1709	1257	19.918901490744698	54	0.7017736476308686	0.7619836158659081
temporal	mondrian	0.9	borough_bin	32	1297	991	21.567428465228318	45	0.7127819901403922	0.7989206748833051
temporal	mondrian	0.9	borough_bin	33	806	575	22.60671892029316	50	0.6616992086144265	0.7556470662071798
temporal	mondrian	0.9	borough_bin	34	1222	901	23.420480143777162	52	0.7045436808248984	0.7618639635115909
temporal	mondrian	0.9	borough_bin	35	1116	808	24.392018480812727	52	0.6824221426430285	0.753229620749782
temporal	mondrian	0.9	borough_bin	36	1294	943	27.36587844393029	56	0.6989536216348123	0.7494652702057689
temporal	mondrian	0.9	borough_bin	37	392	256	42.822915547177615	60	0.6049341782100403	0.6956634669678147
temporal	mondrian	0.9	borough_bin	38	394	110	20.270746547020465	60	0.23513175675675677	0.3220779220779221
temporal	mondrian_borough	0.9	all	all	12936277	11484909	25.184127892727233	61	0.8839537145708218	0.8917324636071656