Conformal coverage
Empirical coverage of each conformal method on held-out trips, overall and by bin, borough and hour, with mean interval width (lower end clipped at 0) and a 95% interval from a bootstrap that resamples whole test days (B = 2,000, seed 20190101).
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| schemeTEXT | methodTEXT | levelREAL | group_typeTEXT | group_valueTEXT | tripsINTEGER | coveredINTEGER | mean_widthREAL | daysINTEGER | ci_lowREAL | ci_highREAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| temporal | mondrian | 0.9 | hour | 14 | 739876 | 653824 | 26.623302831010413 | 61 | 0.8775479775731208 | 0.8896918364425753 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.9 | hour | 15 | 745506 | 654570 | 27.69043315440917 | 61 | 0.8710615925649139 | 0.8847734704706073 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.9 | hour | 16 | 685595 | 592161 | 27.679919105881957 | 61 | 0.8547807510795749 | 0.8721186255648938 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.9 | hour | 17 | 766241 | 662226 | 26.977506625733934 | 61 | 0.856225284708563 | 0.8722762217991544 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.9 | hour | 18 | 836959 | 726645 | 24.641046811033252 | 61 | 0.8593173606636272 | 0.8772328947256707 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.9 | hour | 19 | 794554 | 707130 | 24.854771770586265 | 61 | 0.8807069321978559 | 0.898641571388254 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.9 | hour | 20 | 726724 | 655312 | 25.19754573576051 | 61 | 0.893721737045379 | 0.9090214935038081 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.9 | hour | 21 | 731784 | 663506 | 25.3208399792977 | 61 | 0.8993914990044418 | 0.9135266698786981 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.9 | hour | 22 | 680671 | 615076 | 25.510071122155964 | 61 | 0.8960255731655231 | 0.9107836359334219 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.9 | hour | 23 | 543847 | 489486 | 25.933548500588053 | 61 | 0.893857673499687 | 0.9053949882409451 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.9 | borough_bin | 0 | 2409977 | 2132331 | 18.193205765426647 | 61 | 0.8758641145393639 | 0.8947294423286349 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.9 | borough_bin | 1 | 1275639 | 1135596 | 20.656865345939362 | 61 | 0.8840449418874006 | 0.8958185993884047 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.9 | borough_bin | 2 | 1086441 | 959116 | 21.972422031974936 | 61 | 0.8758967086640334 | 0.8905894763911029 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.9 | borough_bin | 3 | 1168823 | 1041772 | 22.976541643250012 | 61 | 0.8858407919002328 | 0.8964020781777029 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.9 | borough_bin | 4 | 1042608 | 934484 | 23.591078877893093 | 61 | 0.8909484551153873 | 0.9012168082839821 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.9 | borough_bin | 5 | 1266240 | 1131362 | 24.338096349634874 | 61 | 0.8888122987570516 | 0.898314151944654 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.9 | borough_bin | 6 | 877407 | 781069 | 25.11172990996139 | 61 | 0.8839085622938703 | 0.8952997901745545 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.9 | borough_bin | 7 | 1024360 | 918364 | 26.34041471491836 | 61 | 0.8900050280118236 | 0.9016192321741425 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.9 | borough_bin | 8 | 852521 | 768233 | 28.227427350257443 | 61 | 0.8959209018014124 | 0.9050443785291369 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.9 | borough_bin | 9 | 976843 | 870816 | 37.70588458691553 | 61 | 0.885112020597072 | 0.8982567086329563 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.9 | borough_bin | 10 | 19800 | 15311 | 22.834972163881464 | 61 | 0.7529707393760153 | 0.7962599992425903 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.9 | borough_bin | 11 | 10195 | 8705 | 29.94487483979521 | 61 | 0.843182366399382 | 0.864299191374663 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.9 | borough_bin | 12 | 11499 | 9631 | 31.114933977602362 | 61 | 0.8252551987524755 | 0.8495161392509487 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.9 | borough_bin | 13 | 8191 | 6567 | 31.11493397760249 | 61 | 0.7844334648214272 | 0.8166421468557775 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.9 | borough_bin | 14 | 9031 | 7754 | 37.54514187455773 | 61 | 0.8376639664683143 | 0.8779280902428626 |