Conformal coverage
Empirical coverage of each conformal method on held-out trips, overall and by bin, borough and hour, with mean interval width (lower end clipped at 0) and a 95% interval from a bootstrap that resamples whole test days (B = 2,000, seed 20190101).
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| schemeTEXT | methodTEXT | levelREAL | group_typeTEXT | group_valueTEXT | tripsINTEGER | coveredINTEGER | mean_widthREAL | daysINTEGER | ci_lowREAL | ci_highREAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| temporal | mondrian | 0.9 | bin | 4 | 1105546 | 988784 | 23.90404775247966 | 61 | 0.8902474624723753 | 0.8986064770975255 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.9 | bin | 5 | 1177540 | 1051865 | 24.643959890188977 | 61 | 0.8871242272584366 | 0.8983894723776882 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.9 | bin | 6 | 821295 | 731619 | 25.56077608866589 | 61 | 0.8860518422085656 | 0.8951291828989357 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.9 | bin | 7 | 1245994 | 1115311 | 26.769304502576816 | 61 | 0.8890980189523725 | 0.8999876933968445 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.9 | bin | 8 | 927343 | 830462 | 31.11493397793701 | 61 | 0.8897659161559874 | 0.9005138408737268 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.9 | bin | 9 | 1217035 | 1068821 | 47.283156260400794 | 61 | 0.8668219789925524 | 0.8899054050503674 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.9 | borough | Manhattan | 11980859 | 10673143 | 23.8922566834853 | 61 | 0.8868411082899463 | 0.8948328943847135 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.9 | borough | Brooklyn | 116774 | 102987 | 37.934971750349185 | 61 | 0.8708156227993851 | 0.8921019606916897 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.9 | borough | Queens | 828131 | 714177 | 45.518051787949204 | 61 | 0.848186504857014 | 0.8760815178343582 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.9 | borough | Bronx | 10119 | 7253 | 22.705835484798218 | 60 | 0.7022031484489647 | 0.7318746151950448 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.9 | borough | Staten Island | 394 | 110 | 20.270746547020465 | 60 | 0.23513175675675677 | 0.3220779220779221 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.9 | hour | 00 | 395335 | 350867 | 24.69646274545583 | 61 | 0.8795996703991151 | 0.8942210081609849 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.9 | hour | 01 | 277323 | 247432 | 23.38513687025537 | 61 | 0.8864329713343349 | 0.8977551339088033 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.9 | hour | 02 | 185881 | 167022 | 23.8659704793337 | 61 | 0.8938801005327758 | 0.9026204921660658 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.9 | hour | 03 | 125358 | 111750 | 24.532573697054787 | 61 | 0.8860715601276875 | 0.8956865465803536 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.9 | hour | 04 | 94486 | 82979 | 26.237462632570185 | 61 | 0.8741461554577741 | 0.8820530588836936 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.9 | hour | 05 | 106707 | 98882 | 25.334878626096014 | 61 | 0.9207176977600915 | 0.9319381932036579 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.9 | hour | 06 | 234436 | 218865 | 22.7487529315578 | 61 | 0.9291594709211027 | 0.9379606350567756 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.9 | hour | 07 | 441447 | 400864 | 24.69026526583085 | 61 | 0.9050485432199524 | 0.9112388568880087 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.9 | hour | 08 | 559786 | 503021 | 25.319779926520145 | 61 | 0.892240734978018 | 0.9042711362380438 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.9 | hour | 09 | 586141 | 524128 | 24.936434645747294 | 61 | 0.8863520812063083 | 0.900837351068028 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.9 | hour | 10 | 612439 | 547925 | 24.740698386293985 | 61 | 0.8866782112460377 | 0.9021197547925018 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.9 | hour | 11 | 656778 | 583141 | 24.444933292294213 | 61 | 0.8793892742797929 | 0.8956008042228278 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.9 | hour | 12 | 701132 | 619179 | 24.54891071285677 | 61 | 0.8756269478521334 | 0.8898804679869758 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.9 | hour | 13 | 707271 | 621679 | 24.82394685877001 | 61 | 0.8719742437204888 | 0.885151478484903 |