Conformal coverage

Empirical coverage of each conformal method on held-out trips, overall and by bin, borough and hour, with mean interval width (lower end clipped at 0) and a 95% interval from a bootstrap that resamples whole test days (B = 2,000, seed 20190101).

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conformal_coverage, page 42 of 58
schemeTEXT	methodTEXT	levelREAL	group_typeTEXT	group_valueTEXT	tripsINTEGER	coveredINTEGER	mean_widthREAL	daysINTEGER	ci_lowREAL	ci_highREAL
temporal	global	0.9	borough_bin	19	10009	4899	25.163725630560545	61	0.4770080799866947	0.5009500500108559
temporal	global	0.9	borough_bin	20	67584	59437	24.579556685619792	61	0.8709965300177003	0.8877719716609113
temporal	global	0.9	borough_bin	21	137085	98902	25.16372563051333	61	0.6977766850762621	0.7401341634053773
temporal	global	0.9	borough_bin	22	77022	54498	25.163725630598037	61	0.6852830355992914	0.7308439202755681
temporal	global	0.9	borough_bin	23	69203	45419	25.163725630596343	61	0.6253847009009055	0.690422121588027
temporal	global	0.9	borough_bin	24	65234	38663	25.163725630595327	61	0.5554933343713497	0.6337144422988996
temporal	global	0.9	borough_bin	25	71692	37516	25.16372563059692	61	0.4886881273562946	0.5604724699880006
temporal	global	0.9	borough_bin	26	91305	48646	25.163725630580075	61	0.5061559693479722	0.5624066071333286
temporal	global	0.9	borough_bin	27	101312	53580	25.163725630560332	61	0.4892159214465682	0.5637031017910797
temporal	global	0.9	borough_bin	28	67805	39622	25.163725630595998	61	0.5535237388886376	0.6165443925683097
temporal	global	0.9	borough_bin	29	79889	34848	25.163725630598577	61	0.40184379107090984	0.47177476149125785
temporal	global	0.9	borough_bin	30	2283	1702	22.27805929700032	60	0.6940839320120085	0.7794425036640256
temporal	global	0.9	borough_bin	31	1709	1400	24.09254227211066	54	0.7875312494549513	0.8453836304016834
temporal	global	0.9	borough_bin	32	1297	1049	24.519427085358817	45	0.7679639202874305	0.8358578374291357
temporal	global	0.9	borough_bin	33	806	611	24.84202508826748	50	0.7024289746858496	0.8051544701101764
temporal	global	0.9	borough_bin	34	1222	943	25.107604124933424	52	0.7429501084598699	0.7959204081632653
temporal	global	0.9	borough_bin	35	1116	824	25.163725630562364	52	0.6937495182425488	0.7683124145463034
temporal	global	0.9	borough_bin	36	1294	909	25.16372563056233	56	0.6627137062774402	0.7323198354853844
temporal	global	0.9	borough_bin	37	392	181	25.163725630562823	60	0.4115922497194674	0.5080869447085994
temporal	global	0.9	borough_bin	38	394	128	22.641772547911543	60	0.2853532048231001	0.366445863056896
temporal	mondrian	0.9	all	all	12936277	11497670	25.402380736430548	61	0.8851386917664408	0.8925316122975315
temporal	mondrian	0.9	bin	0	2538711	2239341	18.193696479973532	61	0.873401728421144	0.8916554058966933
temporal	mondrian	0.9	bin	1	1319429	1177409	20.881157242613217	61	0.8866730170442473	0.8978283010796044
temporal	mondrian	0.9	bin	2	1193339	1054699	22.143701605443336	61	0.8771865416284944	0.8909836138489936
temporal	mondrian	0.9	bin	3	1390045	1239359	23.203906025691882	61	0.8861730452386246	0.8969607148217572