Conformal coverage

Empirical coverage of each conformal method on held-out trips, overall and by bin, borough and hour, with mean interval width (lower end clipped at 0) and a 95% interval from a bootstrap that resamples whole test days (B = 2,000, seed 20190101).

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conformal_coverage, page 41 of 58
schemeTEXT	methodTEXT	levelREAL	group_typeTEXT	group_valueTEXT	tripsINTEGER	coveredINTEGER	mean_widthREAL	daysINTEGER	ci_lowREAL	ci_highREAL
temporal	global	0.9	hour	18	836959	718356	24.503740744474484	61	0.8489622021635549	0.8686066814982378
temporal	global	0.9	hour	19	794554	706838	24.543639014315982	61	0.8803220811225299	0.899195269679547
temporal	global	0.9	hour	20	726724	656380	24.57090214467816	61	0.8949325974203717	0.9113681226828303
temporal	global	0.9	hour	21	731784	664178	24.591665324545517	61	0.8998362097347625	0.9152702460991591
temporal	global	0.9	hour	22	680671	613386	24.621398359136045	61	0.8931137935288119	0.9093223097065133
temporal	global	0.9	hour	23	543847	489621	24.65849716038081	61	0.8926235634033511	0.9075899179409674
temporal	global	0.9	borough_bin	0	2409977	2273051	22.76982312529825	61	0.9338715135913325	0.9542200274106067
temporal	global	0.9	borough_bin	1	1275639	1197084	24.208662287503874	61	0.931564644113863	0.9450344938945664
temporal	global	0.9	borough_bin	2	1086441	1001658	24.636392406151124	61	0.9125243217038299	0.933577316282745
temporal	global	0.9	borough_bin	3	1168823	1079470	24.94775499098545	61	0.9166840882890205	0.9304693839587012
temporal	global	0.9	borough_bin	4	1042608	961619	25.157799316098675	61	0.9152903274832663	0.9293686738765602
temporal	global	0.9	borough_bin	5	1266240	1150305	25.163725630198865	61	0.9029379676226708	0.9142049527922401
temporal	global	0.9	borough_bin	6	877407	791491	25.163725630531225	61	0.8925992946828266	0.9099636781716538
temporal	global	0.9	borough_bin	7	1024360	918329	25.163725630375954	61	0.8865425775913804	0.9044513775813481
temporal	global	0.9	borough_bin	8	852521	746125	25.16372563056282	61	0.8601110768808223	0.8860797467348062
temporal	global	0.9	borough_bin	9	976843	725230	25.16372563042105	61	0.7209212611325547	0.7597783228096038
temporal	global	0.9	borough_bin	10	19800	15639	24.235205054254624	61	0.7776992715859034	0.8001650147015729
temporal	global	0.9	borough_bin	11	10195	7965	25.16372563056044	61	0.7604111088904673	0.8074811005138441
temporal	global	0.9	borough_bin	12	11499	9059	25.163725630559806	61	0.7640597504571385	0.8157531123913169
temporal	global	0.9	borough_bin	13	8191	6446	25.16372563056181	61	0.7657657619034253	0.8138477337565426
temporal	global	0.9	borough_bin	14	9031	7119	25.163725630561164	61	0.7694210993517805	0.8086033974541371
temporal	global	0.9	borough_bin	15	13010	10283	25.16372563055923	61	0.7787310523069931	0.8037408450011566
temporal	global	0.9	borough_bin	16	12166	9066	25.163725630559533	61	0.7319164741205041	0.7595665897213739
temporal	global	0.9	borough_bin	17	11766	8303	25.163725630559693	61	0.6872140176412149	0.726524420125375
temporal	global	0.9	borough_bin	18	11107	7546	25.163725630559984	61	0.6619926346424708	0.6994481463504822