Conformal coverage

Empirical coverage of each conformal method on held-out trips, overall and by bin, borough and hour, with mean interval width (lower end clipped at 0) and a 95% interval from a bootstrap that resamples whole test days (B = 2,000, seed 20190101).

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conformal_coverage, page 40 of 58
schemeTEXT	methodTEXT	levelREAL	group_typeTEXT	group_valueTEXT	tripsINTEGER	coveredINTEGER	mean_widthREAL	daysINTEGER	ci_lowREAL	ci_highREAL
temporal	global	0.9	bin	8	927343	768213	25.163725630472943	61	0.8134711027598481	0.8394756845182765
temporal	global	0.9	bin	9	1217035	745389	25.163725630229187	61	0.5931969867885055	0.6332593668240384
temporal	global	0.9	borough	Manhattan	11980859	10844362	24.511093569028905	61	0.9001045333019286	0.9107664637822834
temporal	global	0.9	borough	Brooklyn	116774	86325	25.00628726745438	61	0.7266536682264627	0.7524606373714293
temporal	global	0.9	borough	Queens	828131	511131	25.116051441397083	61	0.5926415635341623	0.6423260000244284
temporal	global	0.9	borough	Bronx	10119	7619	24.216778804865804	60	0.7354920069179632	0.7692617457293259
temporal	global	0.9	borough	Staten Island	394	128	22.641772547911543	60	0.2853532048231001	0.366445863056896
temporal	global	0.9	hour	00	395335	357645	24.388327375249418	61	0.8974796122976785	0.9111482147370055
temporal	global	0.9	hour	01	277323	257968	24.27940099837821	61	0.9250368519230102	0.9351615694266023
temporal	global	0.9	hour	02	185881	175714	24.42593530816847	61	0.9412278225588194	0.9487364217240363
temporal	global	0.9	hour	03	125358	117874	24.471586771242677	61	0.9350571125004021	0.9445747660909517
temporal	global	0.9	hour	04	94486	86404	24.473213223444677	61	0.9093542644335662	0.9189437600375531
temporal	global	0.9	hour	05	106707	98247	23.08268885495542	61	0.9151831996830313	0.9260676548279299
temporal	global	0.9	hour	06	234436	221079	23.19742500424847	61	0.9386208609568086	0.9468793969508483
temporal	global	0.9	hour	07	441447	410529	24.540622285411438	61	0.9262707292937683	0.9333375361259332
temporal	global	0.9	hour	08	559786	504753	24.684543817261826	61	0.8937759226668728	0.9097651748406749
temporal	global	0.9	hour	09	586141	524280	24.583208605032162	61	0.8837070876729648	0.905665009730226
temporal	global	0.9	hour	10	612439	546554	24.494422049011323	61	0.8798587966656954	0.905086118951842
temporal	global	0.9	hour	11	656778	581504	24.446247648431598	61	0.8721068844086979	0.8990650101809362
temporal	global	0.9	hour	12	701132	616617	24.430574884383546	61	0.8683390922556032	0.890572501159138
temporal	global	0.9	hour	13	707271	616060	24.429800502117654	61	0.8613905528201639	0.8807940134903238
temporal	global	0.9	hour	14	739876	635294	24.717565398127064	61	0.8480366903250149	0.8692030267310127
temporal	global	0.9	hour	15	745506	634420	24.862983403417587	61	0.8400384461533474	0.8619430823124651
temporal	global	0.9	hour	16	685595	573599	24.849999551184332	61	0.824623590190163	0.8485088664578189
temporal	global	0.9	hour	17	766241	642265	24.827126455350758	61	0.8281759889319106	0.8490041472707329