Conformal coverage
Empirical coverage of each conformal method on held-out trips, overall and by bin, borough and hour, with mean interval width (lower end clipped at 0) and a 95% interval from a bootstrap that resamples whole test days (B = 2,000, seed 20190101).
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| schemeTEXT | methodTEXT | levelREAL | group_typeTEXT | group_valueTEXT | tripsINTEGER | coveredINTEGER | mean_widthREAL | daysINTEGER | ci_lowREAL | ci_highREAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | borough_bin | 23 | 69203 | 52059 | 31.751048639829413 | 61 | 0.7289007037076204 | 0.7776163282093563 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | borough_bin | 24 | 65234 | 48502 | 34.30887908209451 | 61 | 0.7110534577476312 | 0.7774260001535785 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | borough_bin | 25 | 71692 | 52927 | 36.83602262735792 | 61 | 0.7095321771371452 | 0.7666276895920656 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | borough_bin | 26 | 91305 | 66891 | 38.25817484118737 | 61 | 0.7112809441306335 | 0.7538525494478006 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | borough_bin | 27 | 101312 | 79578 | 44.65621972259557 | 61 | 0.7508752809043626 | 0.8168240415060667 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | borough_bin | 28 | 67805 | 51329 | 34.80671649445925 | 61 | 0.7278446514597107 | 0.7881557160067081 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | borough_bin | 29 | 79889 | 58007 | 42.934263373123876 | 61 | 0.6941187026507335 | 0.7565316770977465 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | borough_bin | 30 | 2283 | 1885 | 37.07804012607084 | 60 | 0.7790050712689518 | 0.8556797898197303 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | borough_bin | 31 | 1709 | 1367 | 34.85749516589416 | 54 | 0.7737427606177606 | 0.8211424641869234 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | borough_bin | 32 | 1297 | 1095 | 36.897937648972835 | 45 | 0.8038908912188729 | 0.8724482669700115 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | borough_bin | 33 | 806 | 641 | 36.778743025916654 | 50 | 0.7593421471899267 | 0.8312604045523566 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | borough_bin | 34 | 1222 | 972 | 36.6461117130187 | 52 | 0.7729401271715782 | 0.8135329639316999 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | borough_bin | 35 | 1116 | 864 | 39.074076686796786 | 52 | 0.7485233038968321 | 0.7956314109238221 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | borough_bin | 36 | 1294 | 1051 | 45.612455606902394 | 56 | 0.789169476396739 | 0.8390710080144931 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | borough_bin | 37 | 392 | 253 | 46.31826406603555 | 60 | 0.590903203014602 | 0.6925067771084337 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | borough_bin | 38 | 394 | 317 | 82.37944504635291 | 60 | 0.7645369752262275 | 0.8457583547557841 |
| temporal | global | 0.9 | all | all | 12936277 | 11449565 | 24.554003551985204 | 61 | 0.8793864677046422 | 0.8912523902519311 |
| temporal | global | 0.9 | bin | 0 | 2538711 | 2390965 | 22.816418328995333 | 61 | 0.932661226942961 | 0.9526985256330872 |
| temporal | global | 0.9 | bin | 1 | 1319429 | 1238365 | 24.257155686626927 | 61 | 0.9323678999821249 | 0.9449086025723679 |
| temporal | global | 0.9 | bin | 2 | 1193339 | 1099791 | 24.697727874387386 | 61 | 0.9123577448798152 | 0.9318953873581193 |
| temporal | global | 0.9 | bin | 3 | 1390045 | 1282348 | 25.03700247903829 | 61 | 0.9152814686816407 | 0.9299277706164931 |
| temporal | global | 0.9 | bin | 4 | 1105546 | 1011270 | 25.163725630307876 | 61 | 0.90880965636837 | 0.9208820479761473 |
| temporal | global | 0.9 | bin | 5 | 1177540 | 1067465 | 25.163725630255357 | 61 | 0.8983602458024192 | 0.9131907180365184 |
| temporal | global | 0.9 | bin | 6 | 821295 | 739273 | 25.16372563060517 | 61 | 0.8906235552448851 | 0.9084684658133629 |
| temporal | global | 0.9 | bin | 7 | 1245994 | 1106486 | 25.16372563021105 | 61 | 0.8773498476836716 | 0.8962393249114098 |