Conformal coverage
Empirical coverage of each conformal method on held-out trips, overall and by bin, borough and hour, with mean interval width (lower end clipped at 0) and a 95% interval from a bootstrap that resamples whole test days (B = 2,000, seed 20190101).
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| schemeTEXT | methodTEXT | levelREAL | group_typeTEXT | group_valueTEXT | tripsINTEGER | coveredINTEGER | mean_widthREAL | daysINTEGER | ci_lowREAL | ci_highREAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| temporal | mondrian | 0.8 | borough_bin | 27 | 101312 | 66068 | 36.009682933772766 | 61 | 0.6097347974941306 | 0.6877343355158223 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.8 | borough_bin | 28 | 67805 | 49919 | 36.00968293375934 | 61 | 0.7085059689405447 | 0.7653469077352929 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.8 | borough_bin | 29 | 79889 | 50024 | 36.00968293376548 | 61 | 0.5915031792708367 | 0.6602848522337563 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.8 | borough_bin | 30 | 2283 | 1271 | 13.606917237211196 | 60 | 0.5072690908965282 | 0.5888318897383313 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.8 | borough_bin | 31 | 1709 | 1074 | 15.011017097990052 | 54 | 0.5968674044508169 | 0.653465913392791 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.8 | borough_bin | 32 | 1297 | 851 | 16.364097669959104 | 45 | 0.5926317234911244 | 0.7007979422492537 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.8 | borough_bin | 33 | 806 | 498 | 17.22107720945237 | 50 | 0.5704967362531191 | 0.6578756361535212 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.8 | borough_bin | 34 | 1222 | 767 | 17.890301060596087 | 52 | 0.599056124828441 | 0.6522151776624465 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.8 | borough_bin | 35 | 1116 | 691 | 18.692546955018923 | 52 | 0.5855619813930099 | 0.6430799050632912 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.8 | borough_bin | 36 | 1294 | 816 | 21.05613999091839 | 56 | 0.6029762681733704 | 0.6510628875004497 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.8 | borough_bin | 37 | 392 | 218 | 32.77955316645138 | 60 | 0.5157559545128939 | 0.5940082545279692 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.8 | borough_bin | 38 | 394 | 70 | 15.267556203570384 | 60 | 0.136481459775504 | 0.22030430984274893 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | all | all | 12936277 | 10135312 | 19.192210033716044 | 61 | 0.778674792701217 | 0.7885560583982747 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | bin | 0 | 2538711 | 1974292 | 13.625098734586055 | 61 | 0.7666395420910819 | 0.7904756139711647 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | bin | 1 | 1319429 | 1040003 | 15.791130980757266 | 61 | 0.7806488162661015 | 0.7958955607567003 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | bin | 2 | 1193339 | 928219 | 16.88909031236162 | 61 | 0.7686929700121011 | 0.7876072207689557 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | bin | 3 | 1390045 | 1095696 | 17.723264869372972 | 61 | 0.7814852377027932 | 0.7949623474687708 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | bin | 4 | 1105546 | 873924 | 18.26587850984697 | 61 | 0.7855635765782597 | 0.7954960893445424 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | bin | 5 | 1177540 | 927914 | 18.855211764404018 | 61 | 0.7794978221131124 | 0.7956188444972956 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | bin | 6 | 821295 | 644481 | 19.595041289632654 | 61 | 0.7783812581629145 | 0.7910027445432061 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | bin | 7 | 1245994 | 983246 | 20.54582177489806 | 61 | 0.7814553661321789 | 0.7967308838881395 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | bin | 8 | 927343 | 754923 | 25.85678240287006 | 61 | 0.8044760761022535 | 0.8240809413993618 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | bin | 9 | 1217035 | 912614 | 32.86003602802033 | 61 | 0.7347928957163881 | 0.7653209984127224 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | borough | Manhattan | 11980859 | 9392931 | 17.983531477320835 | 61 | 0.7788449764230218 | 0.7892453706751763 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | borough | Brooklyn | 116774 | 94244 | 27.499148837567557 | 61 | 0.8006009642083077 | 0.812923216813159 |