Conformal coverage
Empirical coverage of each conformal method on held-out trips, overall and by bin, borough and hour, with mean interval width (lower end clipped at 0) and a 95% interval from a bootstrap that resamples whole test days (B = 2,000, seed 20190101).
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| schemeTEXT | methodTEXT | levelREAL | group_typeTEXT | group_valueTEXT | tripsINTEGER | coveredINTEGER | mean_widthREAL | daysINTEGER | ci_lowREAL | ci_highREAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | borough | Queens | 828131 | 639692 | 35.244011836743475 | 61 | 0.7533278792448698 | 0.7911785206135173 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | borough | Bronx | 10119 | 8128 | 38.273387886249076 | 60 | 0.788846175858017 | 0.8188544567867051 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | borough | Staten Island | 394 | 317 | 82.37944504635291 | 60 | 0.7645369752262275 | 0.8457583547557841 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | hour | 00 | 395335 | 312177 | 18.659802831175405 | 61 | 0.7804359181198801 | 0.797854767843436 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | hour | 01 | 277323 | 220717 | 17.704996617902765 | 61 | 0.788478589177065 | 0.8025961863595369 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | hour | 02 | 185881 | 149073 | 18.01482102382913 | 61 | 0.7949396478351082 | 0.8081049103959045 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | hour | 03 | 125358 | 98384 | 18.326112829826897 | 61 | 0.7769852497204774 | 0.7906890443455521 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | hour | 04 | 94486 | 70865 | 19.28716643244214 | 61 | 0.7409561292431582 | 0.7578047269799514 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | hour | 05 | 106707 | 88396 | 18.396455885586892 | 61 | 0.8201659223768821 | 0.8365406974470827 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | hour | 06 | 234436 | 199104 | 16.767979746450663 | 61 | 0.8429033336782317 | 0.8555451894022731 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | hour | 07 | 441447 | 359853 | 18.628929787927326 | 61 | 0.8102136268286794 | 0.8203012687395431 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | hour | 08 | 559786 | 444702 | 19.09008335942354 | 61 | 0.7859817422292831 | 0.8021590472130038 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | hour | 09 | 586141 | 461965 | 18.786428231749014 | 61 | 0.7783619069578854 | 0.797387008611787 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | hour | 10 | 612439 | 482555 | 18.594446366147192 | 61 | 0.7772321745570611 | 0.7979271969762611 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | hour | 11 | 656778 | 512035 | 18.343923125825665 | 61 | 0.768750526353192 | 0.7896380573248926 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | hour | 12 | 701132 | 541636 | 18.405161238939655 | 61 | 0.763100869278912 | 0.7809545274939241 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | hour | 13 | 707271 | 542273 | 18.592751230177644 | 61 | 0.7581206837211305 | 0.7745734556223508 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | hour | 14 | 739876 | 572142 | 20.152807232674178 | 61 | 0.7653256135086417 | 0.7814812240512002 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | hour | 15 | 745506 | 575049 | 21.281358386974112 | 61 | 0.762735067449262 | 0.7800831310172273 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | hour | 16 | 685595 | 516795 | 21.311573372092056 | 61 | 0.7436648288607329 | 0.7636873133306158 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | hour | 17 | 766241 | 578881 | 20.796153349803877 | 61 | 0.74583979913414 | 0.7648517858087811 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | hour | 18 | 836959 | 631690 | 18.55248380896523 | 61 | 0.7441065561143407 | 0.7656741919806843 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | hour | 19 | 794554 | 622811 | 18.73389167805882 | 61 | 0.7721579279621344 | 0.795134850914557 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | hour | 20 | 726724 | 581226 | 19.011720009701687 | 61 | 0.7900256793393747 | 0.8093880645609384 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.8 | hour | 21 | 731784 | 590591 | 19.10024009184723 | 61 | 0.7972948515788945 | 0.8161810266185522 |