Conformal coverage
Empirical coverage of each conformal method on held-out trips, overall and by bin, borough and hour, with mean interval width (lower end clipped at 0) and a 95% interval from a bootstrap that resamples whole test days (B = 2,000, seed 20190101).
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| schemeTEXT | methodTEXT | levelREAL | group_typeTEXT | group_valueTEXT | tripsINTEGER | coveredINTEGER | mean_widthREAL | daysINTEGER | ci_lowREAL | ci_highREAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| temporal | mondrian | 0.8 | borough_bin | 2 | 1086441 | 842923 | 16.70065172993071 | 61 | 0.7671208355750003 | 0.7852686647993189 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.8 | borough_bin | 3 | 1168823 | 919781 | 17.523066738122957 | 61 | 0.7805993370413828 | 0.7930932536042523 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.8 | borough_bin | 4 | 1042608 | 827073 | 18.03332912043307 | 61 | 0.7862021024468943 | 0.7996474147937184 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.8 | borough_bin | 5 | 1266240 | 1000408 | 18.64869632245481 | 61 | 0.7837109955831918 | 0.796610508127124 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.8 | borough_bin | 6 | 877407 | 688992 | 19.277619612432563 | 61 | 0.7766026197092826 | 0.7920183554771686 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.8 | borough_bin | 7 | 1024360 | 811956 | 20.227477413123875 | 61 | 0.7838587067767078 | 0.7994322617351821 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.8 | borough_bin | 8 | 852521 | 680392 | 21.728669169722334 | 61 | 0.7907088824981491 | 0.8036080249929431 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.8 | borough_bin | 9 | 976843 | 777890 | 28.996639098186925 | 61 | 0.7880106544662648 | 0.8052387677370164 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.8 | borough_bin | 10 | 19800 | 12563 | 17.40061670932604 | 61 | 0.6131041863724713 | 0.6575755692103752 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.8 | borough_bin | 11 | 10195 | 7455 | 23.117867299134627 | 61 | 0.7164176196974672 | 0.7441021325531784 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.8 | borough_bin | 12 | 11499 | 8222 | 24.064297379307884 | 61 | 0.6972678000708529 | 0.732447624357903 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.8 | borough_bin | 13 | 8191 | 5552 | 24.0642973793073 | 61 | 0.6596790166256244 | 0.69322844850581 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.8 | borough_bin | 14 | 9031 | 6951 | 29.5310539396404 | 61 | 0.7428100135549299 | 0.7942164677142619 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.8 | borough_bin | 15 | 13010 | 12071 | 36.00968293372564 | 61 | 0.9202818070324139 | 0.9368099110024375 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.8 | borough_bin | 16 | 12166 | 10894 | 36.00968293372453 | 61 | 0.8878129558885196 | 0.9043052260203447 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.8 | borough_bin | 17 | 11766 | 9991 | 36.00968293372394 | 61 | 0.8397108459812427 | 0.8602849842093978 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.8 | borough_bin | 18 | 11107 | 8864 | 36.009682933722885 | 61 | 0.783012622755918 | 0.8142398136032325 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.8 | borough_bin | 19 | 10009 | 6071 | 36.00968293372082 | 61 | 0.5959787460782465 | 0.6163606558721274 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.8 | borough_bin | 20 | 67584 | 46917 | 20.08592934256534 | 61 | 0.6854079742578253 | 0.7027215659512649 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.8 | borough_bin | 21 | 137085 | 113569 | 35.19415341994357 | 61 | 0.7956586043675057 | 0.8526649072347997 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.8 | borough_bin | 22 | 77022 | 64359 | 36.009682933764196 | 61 | 0.8207319953074218 | 0.8504530174591751 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.8 | borough_bin | 23 | 69203 | 55860 | 36.00968293376016 | 61 | 0.7869764915650562 | 0.8284498956908851 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.8 | borough_bin | 24 | 65234 | 50055 | 36.009682933757745 | 61 | 0.7349419276834139 | 0.8006261466272678 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.8 | borough_bin | 25 | 71692 | 51808 | 36.00968293376154 | 61 | 0.6919063467997969 | 0.7533440932106418 |
| temporal | mondrian | 0.8 | borough_bin | 26 | 91305 | 64313 | 36.00968293376979 | 61 | 0.6798825707824219 | 0.7278524392040462 |