Conformal coverage

Empirical coverage of each conformal method on held-out trips, overall and by bin, borough and hour, with mean interval width (lower end clipped at 0) and a 95% interval from a bootstrap that resamples whole test days (B = 2,000, seed 20190101).

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conformal_coverage, page 32 of 58
schemeTEXT	methodTEXT	levelREAL	group_typeTEXT	group_valueTEXT	tripsINTEGER	coveredINTEGER	mean_widthREAL	daysINTEGER	ci_lowREAL	ci_highREAL
temporal	global	0.8	borough_bin	6	877407	693982	18.62911157905248	61	0.780464374746838	0.7998357823211854
temporal	global	0.8	borough_bin	7	1024360	793637	18.62911157922525	61	0.7652379444041167	0.7826416293717737
temporal	global	0.8	borough_bin	8	852521	636146	18.629111579063117	61	0.7321371932422893	0.7576419511912725
temporal	global	0.8	borough_bin	9	976843	596489	18.629111579160778	61	0.5913905371335932	0.6263419361929337
temporal	global	0.8	borough_bin	10	19800	13294	18.583268319757032	61	0.6557659254231641	0.6843549156580523
temporal	global	0.8	borough_bin	11	10195	6455	18.62911157923346	61	0.613603509566258	0.6551244492908115
temporal	global	0.8	borough_bin	12	11499	7031	18.629111579234316	61	0.5960100356920669	0.6277001058823393
temporal	global	0.8	borough_bin	13	8191	4881	18.629111579231616	61	0.5845360228120499	0.6088216061630142
temporal	global	0.8	borough_bin	14	9031	5154	18.629111579232486	61	0.5554287577519578	0.5852141982441728
temporal	global	0.8	borough_bin	15	13010	7300	18.62911157923509	61	0.5432577811950555	0.5772839787930826
temporal	global	0.8	borough_bin	16	12166	6020	18.62911157923468	61	0.4779800031361941	0.5125936935091895
temporal	global	0.8	borough_bin	17	11766	5513	18.629111579234465	61	0.4423028200423357	0.497090982957669
temporal	global	0.8	borough_bin	18	11107	5438	18.629111579234078	61	0.46764562603661497	0.5136462358773041
temporal	global	0.8	borough_bin	19	10009	3335	18.629111579233317	61	0.32202852957830075	0.34432985182501596
temporal	global	0.8	borough_bin	20	67584	48001	18.583200330396195	61	0.6930870947542564	0.7270980909177328
temporal	global	0.8	borough_bin	21	137085	76914	18.629111579191964	61	0.5301830537107142	0.5845183480361765
temporal	global	0.8	borough_bin	22	77022	43363	18.62911157922181	61	0.5373881914830593	0.5894601632235313
temporal	global	0.8	borough_bin	23	69203	35761	18.62911157922951	61	0.4883153444482507	0.5477665754530343
temporal	global	0.8	borough_bin	24	65234	30134	18.62911157923412	61	0.4284057750649757	0.49988386019220166
temporal	global	0.8	borough_bin	25	71692	28725	18.629111579226876	61	0.3715388455034296	0.4330949717659345
temporal	global	0.8	borough_bin	26	91305	37889	18.629111579211155	61	0.391955605077959	0.4408295041463488
temporal	global	0.8	borough_bin	27	101312	40487	18.629111579205478	61	0.36790924553703697	0.427508486659669
temporal	global	0.8	borough_bin	28	67805	30018	18.629111579231072	61	0.4169689866066813	0.4711049244314933
temporal	global	0.8	borough_bin	29	79889	26002	18.629111579219366	61	0.29683094010347116	0.3554305284729577
temporal	global	0.8	borough_bin	30	2283	1526	18.47922242786392	60	0.6151435601029079	0.7018618563318868