Conformal coverage

Empirical coverage of each conformal method on held-out trips, overall and by bin, borough and hour, with mean interval width (lower end clipped at 0) and a 95% interval from a bootstrap that resamples whole test days (B = 2,000, seed 20190101).

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conformal_coverage, page 31 of 58
schemeTEXT	methodTEXT	levelREAL	group_typeTEXT	group_valueTEXT	tripsINTEGER	coveredINTEGER	mean_widthREAL	daysINTEGER	ci_lowREAL	ci_highREAL
temporal	global	0.8	hour	05	106707	91490	18.394247901618964	61	0.8488505531789443	0.865317979242075
temporal	global	0.8	hour	06	234436	210868	18.46176912712114	61	0.8930381100164877	0.9050213764236698
temporal	global	0.8	hour	07	441447	374806	18.605054894804585	61	0.8422975803541762	0.8563313625086326
temporal	global	0.8	hour	08	559786	452668	18.615523641131066	61	0.798322955352964	0.8198047340132212
temporal	global	0.8	hour	09	586141	471187	18.609439102576882	61	0.7895283765914902	0.8192602999991259
temporal	global	0.8	hour	10	612439	492848	18.604692412496043	61	0.788069387282211	0.8222953324499379
temporal	global	0.8	hour	11	656778	524310	18.6021471838121	61	0.7808850399454109	0.8157567132489439
temporal	global	0.8	hour	12	701132	554215	18.60133715598594	61	0.7754824806023181	0.8055850041076005
temporal	global	0.8	hour	13	707271	552087	18.601290945372657	61	0.7679922001436128	0.793752417638739
temporal	global	0.8	hour	14	739876	561818	18.61974087685065	61	0.7452871440857243	0.7733867127502663
temporal	global	0.8	hour	15	745506	553260	18.626223379404873	61	0.7275761384557301	0.7564569985968926
temporal	global	0.8	hour	16	685595	499489	18.62625593389084	61	0.713278732355944	0.7436515908906168
temporal	global	0.8	hour	17	766241	562649	18.624689368453517	61	0.7218706801320447	0.7475260010313295
temporal	global	0.8	hour	18	836959	644259	18.605987724791706	61	0.758884109884548	0.7820216270672821
temporal	global	0.8	hour	19	794554	635953	18.608731018173465	61	0.7893366094536728	0.8117966224250098
temporal	global	0.8	hour	20	726724	590480	18.609201396695624	61	0.8024801357308916	0.8233142447714568
temporal	global	0.8	hour	21	731784	597891	18.610073019250112	61	0.8070133864147334	0.8276030612108083
temporal	global	0.8	hour	22	680671	550586	18.612441124878572	61	0.7986236352162324	0.8199928627852427
temporal	global	0.8	hour	23	543847	437012	18.614422449720546	61	0.7934396822792833	0.8141090043316512
temporal	global	0.8	borough_bin	0	2409977	2161160	18.509175754090858	61	0.8838280618249437	0.9123713257969845
temporal	global	0.8	borough_bin	1	1275639	1117860	18.629111579486334	61	0.8673894868213411	0.8848643772110766
temporal	global	0.8	borough_bin	2	1086441	916925	18.629111579300986	61	0.8329999396448776	0.8570452431051279
temporal	global	0.8	borough_bin	3	1168823	978778	18.62911157938907	61	0.8302541926151245	0.8444891314958373
temporal	global	0.8	borough_bin	4	1042608	865238	18.62911157924845	61	0.822182291676292	0.8378742254900835
temporal	global	0.8	borough_bin	5	1266240	1023631	18.629111579478433	61	0.8022584712469335	0.8150389767978298