Conformal coverage

Empirical coverage of each conformal method on held-out trips, overall and by bin, borough and hour, with mean interval width (lower end clipped at 0) and a 95% interval from a bootstrap that resamples whole test days (B = 2,000, seed 20190101).

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conformal_coverage, page 33 of 58
schemeTEXT	methodTEXT	levelREAL	group_typeTEXT	group_valueTEXT	tripsINTEGER	coveredINTEGER	mean_widthREAL	daysINTEGER	ci_lowREAL	ci_highREAL
temporal	global	0.8	borough_bin	31	1709	1236	18.629111579233676	54	0.6860285250304916	0.7542737852321526
temporal	global	0.8	borough_bin	32	1297	923	18.629111579233662	45	0.659135278761887	0.7478944143959881
temporal	global	0.8	borough_bin	33	806	524	18.629111579233626	50	0.596874268075497	0.6945899594209256
temporal	global	0.8	borough_bin	34	1222	799	18.62911157923366	52	0.6231212664699575	0.6816225514317299
temporal	global	0.8	borough_bin	35	1116	703	18.629111579233655	52	0.5893795946410169	0.6569136949550114
temporal	global	0.8	borough_bin	36	1294	766	18.629111579233662	56	0.560486494356737	0.615388141809291
temporal	global	0.8	borough_bin	37	392	137	18.62911157923353	60	0.29667421416113315	0.39808620635958764
temporal	global	0.8	borough_bin	38	394	96	18.550174852054166	60	0.20104404995827838	0.2867307290214664
temporal	mondrian	0.8	all	all	12936277	10144972	19.363147699880827	61	0.7797486943854398	0.7888405956073876
temporal	mondrian	0.8	bin	0	2538711	1976367	13.61958961332086	61	0.7675011985532997	0.7907948431529644
temporal	mondrian	0.8	bin	1	1319429	1040929	15.793798818054084	61	0.7811924613395428	0.7966500695925788
temporal	mondrian	0.8	bin	2	1193339	927498	16.8429869188899	61	0.7692265572638123	0.7859445480557028
temporal	mondrian	0.8	bin	3	1390045	1094849	17.708727754731534	61	0.7812026859477392	0.794008915823697
temporal	mondrian	0.8	bin	4	1105546	874032	18.29571870569435	61	0.7849547130741064	0.796401245059066
temporal	mondrian	0.8	bin	5	1177540	929882	18.897431105380758	61	0.7815500642226182	0.7965210568965522
temporal	mondrian	0.8	bin	6	821295	645401	19.642589980257803	61	0.7793741709641073	0.7913356929225298
temporal	mondrian	0.8	bin	7	1245994	985292	20.54923192690841	61	0.7826024490181577	0.7972778795845439
temporal	mondrian	0.8	bin	8	927343	733599	24.064297379183486	61	0.7832631717898606	0.7977411741488678
temporal	mondrian	0.8	bin	9	1217035	937123	36.009682933321145	61	0.7548199200704625	0.7855695808990472
temporal	mondrian	0.8	borough	Manhattan	11980859	9437190	18.217579224462227	61	0.7827453584049385	0.7926417214930938
temporal	mondrian	0.8	borough	Brooklyn	116774	88634	29.213609221720226	61	0.7474761839296309	0.769528318833035
temporal	mondrian	0.8	borough	Queens	828131	612892	34.575141990353764	61	0.7207750866024091	0.7595314052497705
temporal	mondrian	0.8	borough	Bronx	10119	6186	17.258810501939113	60	0.5959459937949352	0.6272753982928663
temporal	mondrian	0.8	borough	Staten Island	394	70	15.267556203570384	60	0.136481459775504	0.22030430984274893
temporal	mondrian	0.8	hour	00	395335	309221	18.78860995367031	61	0.7722162350544141	0.7908673558617512