Conformal coverage

Empirical coverage of each conformal method on held-out trips, overall and by bin, borough and hour, with mean interval width (lower end clipped at 0) and a 95% interval from a bootstrap that resamples whole test days (B = 2,000, seed 20190101).

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conformal_coverage, page 30 of 58
schemeTEXT	methodTEXT	levelREAL	group_typeTEXT	group_valueTEXT	tripsINTEGER	coveredINTEGER	mean_widthREAL	daysINTEGER	ci_lowREAL	ci_highREAL
random	mondrian_borough	0.95	borough_bin	37	994	934	65.1824521825779	249	0.9239582343155893	0.9538465665236052
random	mondrian_borough	0.95	borough_bin	38	1037	990	76.35943430644127	267	0.9416754787716392	0.9667576211988914
random	mondrian_borough	0.95	borough_bin	39	914	870	79.59268335567727	208	0.9352592945349448	0.9658218635110294
random	mondrian_borough	0.95	borough_bin	40	258	246	115.25599913352991	188	0.9261956888935087	0.9770114942528736
temporal	global	0.8	all	all	12936277	10252271	18.606429132696803	61	0.783517601084995	0.802128287061887
temporal	global	0.8	bin	0	2538711	2271247	18.51353070362101	61	0.8818182124718849	0.9098153694160767
temporal	global	0.8	bin	1	1319429	1154425	18.62911157952166	61	0.8668191171973821	0.8830569109538168
temporal	global	0.8	bin	2	1193339	1004645	18.629111579412932	61	0.8317869818818989	0.8528323248286886
temporal	global	0.8	bin	3	1390045	1158919	18.629111579573934	61	0.8260452210211611	0.841214564579089
temporal	global	0.8	bin	4	1105546	905167	18.629111579322583	61	0.8120643761959692	0.8256018682936659
temporal	global	0.8	bin	5	1177540	945212	18.629111579397666	61	0.7938079102622502	0.8099103547440661
temporal	global	0.8	bin	6	821295	642690	18.62911157907738	61	0.7739891805339686	0.7896002029725695
temporal	global	0.8	bin	7	1245994	950617	18.62911157946101	61	0.752423017525034	0.7709314955308806
temporal	global	0.8	bin	8	927343	636079	18.629111579086587	61	0.6706365665218142	0.6964273387327692
temporal	global	0.8	bin	9	1217035	583270	18.629111579435083	61	0.46243783132157623	0.4978253417058332
temporal	global	0.8	borough	Manhattan	11980859	9783846	18.60498621733599	61	0.8078838758158001	0.8259603101306332
temporal	global	0.8	borough	Brooklyn	116774	64421	18.621338474419385	61	0.5365515858145651	0.567982326501659
temporal	global	0.8	borough	Queens	828131	397294	18.62536474935686	61	0.45744793357262337	0.5030900722438356
temporal	global	0.8	borough	Bronx	10119	6614	18.59529431146216	60	0.6347439421434271	0.6720438516680045
temporal	global	0.8	borough	Staten Island	394	96	18.550174852054166	60	0.20104404995827838	0.2867307290214664
temporal	global	0.8	hour	00	395335	321675	18.597075643340766	61	0.804464768939276	0.8231519295061558
temporal	global	0.8	hour	01	277323	234145	18.59431819079163	61	0.8334506324744403	0.8537113782879591
temporal	global	0.8	hour	02	185881	158391	18.610767403816695	61	0.8395497499820743	0.8625770059292709
temporal	global	0.8	hour	03	125358	104803	18.613734870616423	61	0.8204598351667926	0.848658631163101
temporal	global	0.8	hour	04	94486	75381	18.60589686363421	61	0.7838214619679156	0.810387037058836