Conformal coverage
Empirical coverage of each conformal method on held-out trips, overall and by bin, borough and hour, with mean interval width (lower end clipped at 0) and a 95% interval from a bootstrap that resamples whole test days (B = 2,000, seed 20190101).
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| schemeTEXT | methodTEXT | levelREAL | group_typeTEXT | group_valueTEXT | tripsINTEGER | coveredINTEGER | mean_widthREAL | daysINTEGER | ci_lowREAL | ci_highREAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | borough_bin | 12 | 7997 | 7579 | 51.062823735531374 | 336 | 0.9427131528303544 | 0.9525038648926026 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | borough_bin | 13 | 8106 | 7702 | 52.50629187548495 | 341 | 0.9449628705897272 | 0.9553464243470106 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | borough_bin | 14 | 8104 | 7711 | 53.73017003474956 | 344 | 0.9462041674247172 | 0.9568011513794287 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | borough_bin | 15 | 7867 | 7429 | 50.508372256609704 | 342 | 0.9379368161893376 | 0.9504315376387612 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | borough_bin | 16 | 8365 | 7904 | 41.33073572325935 | 345 | 0.9390958179375485 | 0.9505390524875279 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | borough_bin | 17 | 7989 | 7591 | 33.24947445618598 | 346 | 0.9446913242254585 | 0.9555240214554395 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | borough_bin | 18 | 7990 | 7612 | 35.07237408737301 | 345 | 0.9480261773274512 | 0.957243676740145 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | borough_bin | 19 | 8278 | 7863 | 57.29259624809303 | 345 | 0.9448382466541937 | 0.9546758709164768 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | borough_bin | 20 | 50246 | 47852 | 43.573833701295435 | 346 | 0.9490661680079585 | 0.9552859509455811 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | borough_bin | 21 | 50758 | 48268 | 50.68622901409383 | 345 | 0.9468468937651398 | 0.9546995378397385 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | borough_bin | 22 | 51100 | 48461 | 49.46315086963685 | 345 | 0.9453399852921652 | 0.9512989011722767 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | borough_bin | 23 | 50677 | 48105 | 51.630076278934716 | 345 | 0.9459277565476236 | 0.9524232465513571 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | borough_bin | 24 | 50519 | 47843 | 53.470763446286206 | 346 | 0.9417075317989544 | 0.9518530914264688 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | borough_bin | 25 | 50834 | 48369 | 57.570867175234355 | 345 | 0.9476355269012636 | 0.9551908098395252 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | borough_bin | 26 | 50632 | 48125 | 67.43581512398413 | 345 | 0.945863558973558 | 0.9551191583237306 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | borough_bin | 27 | 50618 | 47994 | 68.02691802489016 | 345 | 0.9437637384960211 | 0.9524841168811788 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | borough_bin | 28 | 50447 | 47999 | 55.68814883647486 | 345 | 0.9464780848545923 | 0.9558754274718478 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | borough_bin | 29 | 50198 | 47733 | 90.31151189119478 | 344 | 0.9454247658349504 | 0.9560161602092986 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | borough_bin | 30 | 1045 | 985 | 54.80813437284738 | 298 | 0.9262547388980886 | 0.9567385931825065 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | borough_bin | 31 | 1035 | 984 | 56.01982369981649 | 178 | 0.935806510761482 | 0.9625938748526575 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | borough_bin | 32 | 1032 | 982 | 59.152870996193094 | 216 | 0.9375559573002754 | 0.9645391682785299 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | borough_bin | 33 | 884 | 838 | 56.20948253280953 | 187 | 0.9312740385109008 | 0.9627207322884677 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | borough_bin | 34 | 1017 | 972 | 64.57205476705852 | 185 | 0.9424904800506823 | 0.9680197945803295 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | borough_bin | 35 | 934 | 892 | 61.404238548109944 | 162 | 0.9381066709178563 | 0.9704858330180064 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | borough_bin | 36 | 1011 | 969 | 58.06967422636041 | 173 | 0.947072199024796 | 0.9690652896305412 |