Conformal coverage

Empirical coverage of each conformal method on held-out trips, overall and by bin, borough and hour, with mean interval width (lower end clipped at 0) and a 95% interval from a bootstrap that resamples whole test days (B = 2,000, seed 20190101).

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conformal_coverage, page 3 of 58
schemeTEXT	methodTEXT	levelREAL	group_typeTEXT	group_valueTEXT	tripsINTEGER	coveredINTEGER	mean_widthREAL	daysINTEGER	ci_lowREAL	ci_highREAL
random	global	0.8	borough_bin	10	8072	5278	18.734427953893288	341	0.6404149694275484	0.6661920641073726
random	global	0.8	borough_bin	11	8132	4944	18.739415256308924	330	0.594838723374119	0.6214421440628337
random	global	0.8	borough_bin	12	7997	4763	18.739415256308963	336	0.5813808500131903	0.6103411233089376
random	global	0.8	borough_bin	13	8106	4825	18.73941525630893	341	0.5838942382321137	0.6075275408862972
random	global	0.8	borough_bin	14	8104	4739	18.73941525630893	344	0.5737367665212886	0.5969534077233642
random	global	0.8	borough_bin	15	7867	4332	18.739415256309005	342	0.5389024813195252	0.5623662580046285
random	global	0.8	borough_bin	16	8365	4251	18.739415256308856	345	0.49731903662609656	0.5201012011551326
random	global	0.8	borough_bin	17	7989	3878	18.739415256308966	346	0.47067609791200204	0.5000030932937392
random	global	0.8	borough_bin	18	7990	4250	18.739415256308966	345	0.5189423570494476	0.5452115122204134
random	global	0.8	borough_bin	19	8278	3072	18.73941525630888	345	0.36084265301279056	0.381913385952381
random	global	0.8	borough_bin	20	50246	34611	18.73602094452135	346	0.6807639565494059	0.6968413588263899
random	global	0.8	borough_bin	21	50758	26483	18.739415256306913	345	0.5106922432739938	0.5323192030279899
random	global	0.8	borough_bin	22	51100	29796	18.739415256306913	345	0.5728122521643971	0.5936306215990835
random	global	0.8	borough_bin	23	50677	28560	18.739415256306916	345	0.551691890801906	0.5750713239125511
random	global	0.8	borough_bin	24	50519	26116	18.739415256306916	346	0.5054695944754879	0.528661093283249
random	global	0.8	borough_bin	25	50834	24202	18.739415256306913	345	0.46199952562291646	0.49050348701544183
random	global	0.8	borough_bin	26	50632	23460	18.739415256306916	345	0.4513597518980899	0.47580323755278675
random	global	0.8	borough_bin	27	50618	19448	18.739415256306916	345	0.37160652263601296	0.3958852249082041
random	global	0.8	borough_bin	28	50447	23708	18.739415256306916	345	0.4563098730689622	0.4830752781826828
random	global	0.8	borough_bin	29	50198	20660	18.73941525630692	344	0.39667103050837965	0.42674264625361963
random	global	0.8	borough_bin	30	1045	566	18.692415844036265	298	0.49568412074174395	0.5819126615565378
random	global	0.8	borough_bin	31	1035	692	18.73941525631053	178	0.632046768698439	0.6983791598850295
random	global	0.8	borough_bin	32	1032	642	18.73941525631053	216	0.5857741928950461	0.6570495752405465
random	global	0.8	borough_bin	33	884	540	18.73941525631059	187	0.579367852149173	0.6412865422161107
random	global	0.8	borough_bin	34	1017	627	18.739415256310537	185	0.5843784377119547	0.64757918792517