Conformal coverage

Empirical coverage of each conformal method on held-out trips, overall and by bin, borough and hour, with mean interval width (lower end clipped at 0) and a 95% interval from a bootstrap that resamples whole test days (B = 2,000, seed 20190101).

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conformal_coverage, page 2 of 58
schemeTEXT	methodTEXT	levelREAL	group_typeTEXT	group_valueTEXT	tripsINTEGER	coveredINTEGER	mean_widthREAL	daysINTEGER	ci_lowREAL	ci_highREAL
random	global	0.8	hour	09	349529	276935	18.73860237477285	346	0.7867853779977719	0.7981055586514626
random	global	0.8	hour	10	354160	283524	18.738305013977897	346	0.7942606826319585	0.8070484492584303
random	global	0.8	hour	11	371483	296457	18.738236943902226	345	0.7916174511745435	0.80447892565015
random	global	0.8	hour	12	392878	311884	18.738229941028575	345	0.7876982937360336	0.8000129094322981
random	global	0.8	hour	13	396852	314642	18.73812976314848	347	0.7870398642105207	0.7986351720541359
random	global	0.8	hour	14	416534	319367	18.739207335178776	346	0.7605961784923047	0.7728752492054595
random	global	0.8	hour	15	418150	311235	18.73939843196339	347	0.7383446683949401	0.750652894502202
random	global	0.8	hour	16	390287	286927	18.739402135348907	346	0.728641181721116	0.7419824849988768
random	global	0.8	hour	17	444650	333691	18.739390233807438	346	0.7441685859861454	0.756441845354457
random	global	0.8	hour	18	493125	395959	18.738539100805127	346	0.79766949643683	0.8082210666673306
random	global	0.8	hour	19	465712	385555	18.73861788685804	346	0.82340358879421	0.8321298688864565
random	global	0.8	hour	20	427221	354404	18.73873395666519	347	0.8256966330697274	0.8331620616124797
random	global	0.8	hour	21	423969	352522	18.738784981964766	345	0.8274664365522097	0.8351467538445204
random	global	0.8	hour	22	394995	323843	18.73887736293847	345	0.8159955658168253	0.8235195638025725
random	global	0.8	hour	23	312090	250063	18.73897930348403	346	0.797856261999515	0.8045311125944666
random	global	0.8	borough_bin	0	683897	637123	18.717376702250647	347	0.9257123723072161	0.93799222651956
random	global	0.8	borough_bin	1	694595	623567	18.739415256306557	346	0.8949150365052156	0.9004488899222954
random	global	0.8	borough_bin	2	690069	601498	18.739415256306557	346	0.8681590866170698	0.874839515675286
random	global	0.8	borough_bin	3	688656	587207	18.739415256306557	347	0.8489650173414158	0.8562175600639674
random	global	0.8	borough_bin	4	689453	581269	18.739415256306557	346	0.84001638234973	0.8460802305915784
random	global	0.8	borough_bin	5	693533	573717	18.739415256306557	345	0.8236926966098483	0.8309536565847044
random	global	0.8	borough_bin	6	667198	541980	18.73941525630656	345	0.8088378166402878	0.8153512509553764
random	global	0.8	borough_bin	7	706923	562807	18.739415256306557	347	0.7929793235011239	0.7991314460719547
random	global	0.8	borough_bin	8	697520	537445	18.739415256306557	346	0.7667578178381778	0.7738303553544597
random	global	0.8	borough_bin	9	688079	444335	18.739415256306557	346	0.639970311958133	0.6510850513047798