Conformal coverage
Empirical coverage of each conformal method on held-out trips, overall and by bin, borough and hour, with mean interval width (lower end clipped at 0) and a 95% interval from a bootstrap that resamples whole test days (B = 2,000, seed 20190101).
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| schemeTEXT | methodTEXT | levelREAL | group_typeTEXT | group_valueTEXT | tripsINTEGER | coveredINTEGER | mean_widthREAL | daysINTEGER | ci_lowREAL | ci_highREAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | hour | 11 | 371483 | 351650 | 31.08882913699042 | 345 | 0.944593632185427 | 0.9486086877862825 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | hour | 12 | 392878 | 371546 | 31.167662276934905 | 345 | 0.9438267489041531 | 0.9474633860211223 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | hour | 13 | 396852 | 375434 | 31.458967152168675 | 347 | 0.9440251571728109 | 0.9478451253963026 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | hour | 14 | 416534 | 394686 | 34.30835167422882 | 346 | 0.9459325734563147 | 0.9490449173222326 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | hour | 15 | 418150 | 395882 | 36.90202160910434 | 347 | 0.945123833287157 | 0.9482362982457777 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | hour | 16 | 390287 | 367128 | 37.30627970542703 | 346 | 0.938704874616827 | 0.9425201300821657 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | hour | 17 | 444650 | 420220 | 36.057483576706424 | 346 | 0.9431385713754777 | 0.9467872214216325 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | hour | 18 | 493125 | 467451 | 31.232152577799514 | 346 | 0.9458280103333804 | 0.9498901726916357 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | hour | 19 | 465712 | 446078 | 31.41904296553142 | 346 | 0.9561285579817751 | 0.959408691733025 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | hour | 20 | 427221 | 410262 | 31.956533742511308 | 347 | 0.958922859960561 | 0.9615438178546907 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | hour | 21 | 423969 | 407844 | 32.122836335758386 | 345 | 0.9608246795864183 | 0.9631228127231327 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | hour | 22 | 394995 | 379028 | 32.25461474406428 | 345 | 0.9582283814750271 | 0.9608164778483042 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | hour | 23 | 312090 | 297597 | 32.88020677096678 | 346 | 0.9522796489454689 | 0.9547864056335692 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | borough_bin | 0 | 683897 | 649766 | 22.86856559927458 | 347 | 0.947933363738959 | 0.952162243144673 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | borough_bin | 1 | 694595 | 660322 | 25.449570756433136 | 346 | 0.9493119563171004 | 0.9518822461921742 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | borough_bin | 2 | 690069 | 655382 | 26.91362131420524 | 346 | 0.9480855254211087 | 0.951164675035273 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | borough_bin | 3 | 688656 | 654591 | 28.3482039666751 | 347 | 0.9489114215044162 | 0.9520454926754489 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | borough_bin | 4 | 689453 | 654997 | 28.549233612957256 | 346 | 0.9487142010235351 | 0.9512519017719548 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | borough_bin | 5 | 693533 | 658548 | 29.698203966307428 | 345 | 0.9481491037863646 | 0.9510290497900277 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | borough_bin | 6 | 667198 | 633598 | 30.606034581766263 | 345 | 0.9481086599242204 | 0.9509771000648646 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | borough_bin | 7 | 706923 | 671797 | 31.604889232949333 | 347 | 0.9490943398282518 | 0.9514601474264859 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | borough_bin | 8 | 697520 | 662678 | 33.64104320216606 | 346 | 0.9487590846232137 | 0.9511924106706429 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | borough_bin | 9 | 688079 | 653905 | 45.53434413672682 | 346 | 0.9482006307144207 | 0.9522586000353308 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | borough_bin | 10 | 8072 | 7709 | 44.781679944608676 | 341 | 0.9494209231711095 | 0.9600358437811333 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | borough_bin | 11 | 8132 | 7690 | 48.29349362960391 | 330 | 0.9398504762090217 | 0.9508547987717643 |