Conformal coverage

Empirical coverage of each conformal method on held-out trips, overall and by bin, borough and hour, with mean interval width (lower end clipped at 0) and a 95% interval from a bootstrap that resamples whole test days (B = 2,000, seed 20190101).

1,440 rows Download CSV

conformal_coverage, page 27 of 58
schemeTEXT	methodTEXT	levelREAL	group_typeTEXT	group_valueTEXT	tripsINTEGER	coveredINTEGER	mean_widthREAL	daysINTEGER	ci_lowREAL	ci_highREAL
random	mondrian_borough	0.95	bin	1	751838	714975	25.77320052723739	346	0.9496127804870532	0.9522749028815823
random	mondrian_borough	0.95	bin	2	749162	711455	27.365322101120697	347	0.947994346535005	0.951222231635936
random	mondrian_borough	0.95	bin	3	736694	700365	28.542537857376864	346	0.9493520419638667	0.9519297670182093
random	mondrian_borough	0.95	bin	4	761776	723461	29.069238840200686	346	0.9484370943558225	0.9509395740099841
random	mondrian_borough	0.95	bin	5	752116	714639	30.209699198473004	345	0.9485903151649813	0.9516954086613034
random	mondrian_borough	0.95	bin	6	738417	701424	31.308483970663588	347	0.9485095516812176	0.9511714358479224
random	mondrian_borough	0.95	bin	7	761703	724501	33.070062814655714	345	0.9500193100462753	0.9521933191975404
random	mondrian_borough	0.95	bin	8	751753	725449	41.54603770986056	346	0.9636835381024649	0.9662843987082634
random	mondrian_borough	0.95	bin	9	747513	697020	54.52649575941966	346	0.9301342801731798	0.9346855691171633
random	mondrian_borough	0.95	borough	Manhattan	6899923	6555584	30.32648021867517	347	0.9492478960604509	0.9508613207988847
random	mondrian_borough	0.95	borough	Brooklyn	80900	76790	46.808436502166636	346	0.9471709011399417	0.9511070595791402
random	mondrian_borough	0.95	borough	Queens	506029	480749	58.76060038484534	346	0.9476499731057435	0.9523683007814745
random	mondrian_borough	0.95	borough	Bronx	9903	9416	63.05599777372991	344	0.946413791553665	0.9551083608339704
random	mondrian_borough	0.95	borough	Staten Island	258	246	115.25599913352991	188	0.9261956888935087	0.9770114942528736
random	mondrian_borough	0.95	hour	00	221721	209794	31.421373810872716	345	0.9445510953220762	0.9477225699635852
random	mondrian_borough	0.95	hour	01	153861	146101	30.17860934427014	345	0.9464653667626135	0.9518443954941375
random	mondrian_borough	0.95	hour	02	106424	100977	30.39651356867715	344	0.9471411229420605	0.9504728088142633
random	mondrian_borough	0.95	hour	03	73054	68604	30.632086321103746	345	0.9365489580082496	0.9414105516918646
random	mondrian_borough	0.95	hour	04	56261	51345	32.257833624288615	345	0.9093421062335229	0.9157137860577922
random	mondrian_borough	0.95	hour	05	65924	62758	30.29047306411035	346	0.949877435263943	0.9541024197740305
random	mondrian_borough	0.95	hour	06	153536	148247	28.10692337341382	346	0.964151842573359	0.9670018384630132
random	mondrian_borough	0.95	hour	07	272387	259005	30.666271336247874	345	0.9495640874444016	0.9521803889628968
random	mondrian_borough	0.95	hour	08	342210	324446	31.7791386321377	346	0.9463732863535071	0.949727556364631
random	mondrian_borough	0.95	hour	09	349529	330708	31.442589917384254	346	0.9443845278540539	0.9477932808191761
random	mondrian_borough	0.95	hour	10	354160	335994	31.334910244194234	346	0.9468290332157145	0.9504754237060945