Conformal coverage

Empirical coverage of each conformal method on held-out trips, overall and by bin, borough and hour, with mean interval width (lower end clipped at 0) and a 95% interval from a bootstrap that resamples whole test days (B = 2,000, seed 20190101).

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conformal_coverage, page 26 of 58
schemeTEXT	methodTEXT	levelREAL	group_typeTEXT	group_valueTEXT	tripsINTEGER	coveredINTEGER	mean_widthREAL	daysINTEGER	ci_lowREAL	ci_highREAL
random	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	18	7990	7964	57.228672465819216	345	0.9955260602644558	0.9979259965697147
random	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	19	8278	7863	59.95479504317934	345	0.9449046050830072	0.9545615163454628
random	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	20	50246	44535	33.05995800920601	346	0.8822029321812028	0.8901401345519508
random	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	21	50758	49071	57.328782863750895	345	0.9623470591277754	0.9708262732038312
random	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	22	51100	50291	60.10990939463441	345	0.9823854264580351	0.9858196546303534
random	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	23	50677	49619	60.10990939463339	345	0.9767935614044075	0.981423143413085
random	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	24	50519	49274	60.10990939463301	346	0.9710624517123279	0.9791669648651856
random	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	25	50834	49165	60.10990939463377	345	0.9634003402901475	0.9707896535453195
random	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	26	50632	47066	60.109909394633284	345	0.9238874872475311	0.9350603872923369
random	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	27	50618	42851	60.10990939463325	345	0.8352509054251464	0.8574429110245877
random	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	28	50447	48660	60.10990939463283	345	0.9607982817040789	0.9680659304103097
random	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	29	50198	46136	60.10990939463222	344	0.9117101933337205	0.9257179611809511
random	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	30	1045	651	23.266593975692242	298	0.5756878774251574	0.6620464455576395
random	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	31	1035	786	24.63357747651131	178	0.723698519230162	0.788676853842977
random	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	32	1032	772	26.687715189998478	216	0.7136837544625836	0.77834692749015
random	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	33	884	660	27.51552212517466	187	0.7163507248670243	0.7742761958709383
random	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	34	1017	783	28.38846217407935	185	0.7442256309027854	0.7953855604538556
random	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	35	934	725	28.711719087672893	162	0.7458093827825267	0.804972155199727
random	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	36	1011	829	29.533060518726103	173	0.7974225169703466	0.8413184254720022
random	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	37	994	737	31.18249602246285	249	0.7169028765549772	0.7667345215109844
random	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	38	1037	793	35.52611640860411	267	0.7380204903290074	0.7933927769501798
random	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	39	914	796	58.71780301762805	208	0.8457887641292047	0.8932928720571325
random	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	40	258	106	27.35399614528741	188	0.34901059274284424	0.47388617173098646
random	mondrian_borough	0.95	all	all	7497013	7122785	32.46972205181399	347	0.9492273447895013	0.9509004773745109
random	mondrian_borough	0.95	bin	0	746041	709496	23.262968898355016	347	0.9489654956705592	0.952992654095012