Conformal coverage

Empirical coverage of each conformal method on held-out trips, overall and by bin, borough and hour, with mean interval width (lower end clipped at 0) and a 95% interval from a bootstrap that resamples whole test days (B = 2,000, seed 20190101).

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conformal_coverage, page 25 of 58
schemeTEXT	methodTEXT	levelREAL	group_typeTEXT	group_valueTEXT	tripsINTEGER	coveredINTEGER	mean_widthREAL	daysINTEGER	ci_lowREAL	ci_highREAL
random	mondrian	0.95	hour	17	444650	419459	35.40905560948354	346	0.9413663762697224	0.9451490775293412
random	mondrian	0.95	hour	18	493125	467577	31.43194634023597	346	0.9461622338285219	0.9500694522584809
random	mondrian	0.95	hour	19	465712	446078	31.593163795702157	346	0.9562582994327453	0.9593636382170179
random	mondrian	0.95	hour	20	427221	410216	32.09740574103372	347	0.9588494748506281	0.9614226664704216
random	mondrian	0.95	hour	21	423969	407801	32.28374045136107	345	0.960713336820562	0.9630234301152485
random	mondrian	0.95	hour	22	394995	379040	32.43702052397485	345	0.9582825911752592	0.9608358082058566
random	mondrian	0.95	hour	23	312090	297600	33.08664681831478	346	0.9522908913415693	0.954776855663536
random	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	0	683897	651607	23.276993619864704	347	0.9506822587374701	0.9547822057402471
random	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	1	694595	660053	25.480952166145567	346	0.9489123452353363	0.9515360823907367
random	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	2	690069	656308	27.22244727419431	346	0.9495331038179198	0.9524546386906704
random	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	3	688656	654527	28.289032032567054	347	0.9487620255860872	0.9519854046282359
random	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	4	689453	656032	28.85935804293619	346	0.9502311949373485	0.9527266408036388
random	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	5	693533	659041	29.744325185119408	345	0.9487291233904649	0.9517769791356675
random	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	6	667198	634078	30.778171463682636	345	0.9488657707614878	0.9516600710659949
random	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	7	706923	673145	32.01652059842424	347	0.9509177885785206	0.9535466169126843
random	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	8	697520	666045	34.84088515711893	346	0.9535242688089438	0.9561656467827211
random	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	9	688079	653214	45.39703837330635	346	0.9477401124709659	0.950884981330322
random	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	10	8072	6938	28.749342797868902	341	0.8488784313588246	0.8689747242839917
random	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	11	8132	7137	34.349472636803405	330	0.8685566177930313	0.8862041962419166
random	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	12	7997	7164	37.97128997341458	336	0.8881328674795659	0.9031876556039189
random	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	13	8106	7174	37.97128997341458	341	0.8767723858683122	0.8927604736903749
random	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	14	8104	6920	37.97128997341458	344	0.8448384898415292	0.8629022497372468
random	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	15	7867	7423	50.20973750969272	342	0.9368994947266823	0.9499690476190477
random	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	16	8365	8256	53.920962504487214	345	0.9835671397010279	0.9901151687707755
random	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	17	7989	7949	55.13764052656043	346	0.9932073008950701	0.9966716130167669