Conformal coverage

Empirical coverage of each conformal method on held-out trips, overall and by bin, borough and hour, with mean interval width (lower end clipped at 0) and a 95% interval from a bootstrap that resamples whole test days (B = 2,000, seed 20190101).

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conformal_coverage, page 24 of 58
schemeTEXT	methodTEXT	levelREAL	group_typeTEXT	group_valueTEXT	tripsINTEGER	coveredINTEGER	mean_widthREAL	daysINTEGER	ci_lowREAL	ci_highREAL
random	mondrian	0.95	bin	7	761703	723813	32.89999999968354	345	0.9489455858559533	0.951449521804664
random	mondrian	0.95	bin	8	751753	714285	37.97128997365148	346	0.9488303347837823	0.9513739505214347
random	mondrian	0.95	bin	9	747513	710301	59.08248039934604	346	0.9478283828131441	0.9525406494518127
random	mondrian	0.95	borough	Manhattan	6899923	6564050	30.597144482783325	347	0.9504918032943946	0.9520816427290499
random	mondrian	0.95	borough	Brooklyn	80900	74788	45.3729539654641	346	0.9216533108892488	0.9272056244352487
random	mondrian	0.95	borough	Queens	506029	476668	57.14502738578083	346	0.9394427379809263	0.9445245551576686
random	mondrian	0.95	borough	Bronx	9903	7532	31.174853942346495	344	0.7493359854607264	0.7714208280511959
random	mondrian	0.95	borough	Staten Island	258	106	27.35399614528741	188	0.34901059274284424	0.47388617173098646
random	mondrian	0.95	hour	00	221721	209828	31.67711397821914	345	0.9446984001178418	0.9479358171768187
random	mondrian	0.95	hour	01	153861	145988	30.33080991607313	345	0.9456332500200424	0.9511864428696906
random	mondrian	0.95	hour	02	106424	100943	30.507633137227664	344	0.9467893643901157	0.9500966432860423
random	mondrian	0.95	hour	03	73054	68767	30.84177638393488	345	0.9389755063992912	0.9434256717797094
random	mondrian	0.95	hour	04	56261	52500	33.1776380901071	345	0.9308233816511718	0.9354147507712431
random	mondrian	0.95	hour	05	65924	63542	31.32755491495586	346	0.9619217784924319	0.9657558257662902
random	mondrian	0.95	hour	06	153536	148226	28.576043993421333	346	0.9639430909003402	0.9668626591883441
random	mondrian	0.95	hour	07	272387	259207	30.96972307788284	345	0.9504050577474142	0.9528295323666276
random	mondrian	0.95	hour	08	342210	324599	31.940245744626367	346	0.9469142986982104	0.950174726129078
random	mondrian	0.95	hour	09	349529	330941	31.66173754668941	346	0.9450997638870539	0.9484455545241512
random	mondrian	0.95	hour	10	354160	336340	31.62333888471847	346	0.947872500701025	0.9514515455776251
random	mondrian	0.95	hour	11	371483	351958	31.42741100239683	345	0.9453941724767952	0.9492938406961482
random	mondrian	0.95	hour	12	392878	371816	31.545645198317686	345	0.9445884244591627	0.9481245461817803
random	mondrian	0.95	hour	13	396852	375516	31.853645091526595	347	0.9442830240050551	0.9479932027080749
random	mondrian	0.95	hour	14	416534	394525	34.30488662128059	346	0.9454924921271118	0.9486907560158514
random	mondrian	0.95	hour	15	418150	394893	36.266191625576255	347	0.9426213261938076	0.9460528673897867
random	mondrian	0.95	hour	16	390287	365784	36.43461334384621	346	0.9351695173719379	0.9392585243777953