Conformal coverage

Empirical coverage of each conformal method on held-out trips, overall and by bin, borough and hour, with mean interval width (lower end clipped at 0) and a 95% interval from a bootstrap that resamples whole test days (B = 2,000, seed 20190101).

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conformal_coverage, page 23 of 58
schemeTEXT	methodTEXT	levelREAL	group_typeTEXT	group_valueTEXT	tripsINTEGER	coveredINTEGER	mean_widthREAL	daysINTEGER	ci_lowREAL	ci_highREAL
random	global	0.95	borough_bin	24	50519	41147	35.694028642905685	346	0.8025572852886825	0.8254801570180313
random	global	0.95	borough_bin	25	50834	39354	35.69402864290603	345	0.7603451066235649	0.7876478641101614
random	global	0.95	borough_bin	26	50632	37252	35.69402864290581	345	0.7226916581562863	0.7483204317233405
random	global	0.95	borough_bin	27	50618	35039	35.69402864290579	345	0.6764670436706774	0.7067250054502159
random	global	0.95	borough_bin	28	50447	40502	35.694028642905614	345	0.7918867002377437	0.8132805017000466
random	global	0.95	borough_bin	29	50198	35174	35.694028642905344	344	0.6842148595119993	0.7174450505141533
random	global	0.95	borough_bin	30	1045	740	28.01133647363576	298	0.6636436857495835	0.7452366599567263
random	global	0.95	borough_bin	31	1035	854	29.35206430088726	178	0.7933563874744893	0.8513986087510016
random	global	0.95	borough_bin	32	1032	822	29.865260208143415	216	0.7639448774322652	0.8252449497704215
random	global	0.95	borough_bin	33	884	702	30.141892031308018	187	0.7661679279450864	0.8201838731443994
random	global	0.95	borough_bin	34	1017	816	30.341082055645327	185	0.7769773972882186	0.8275885773886659
random	global	0.95	borough_bin	35	934	751	30.54953017973343	162	0.7749384233163251	0.8325205963644094
random	global	0.95	borough_bin	36	1011	843	30.800437750653252	173	0.8101627217834888	0.8564151827553889
random	global	0.95	borough_bin	37	994	727	31.231487485000255	249	0.704024146669721	0.7582537950681418
random	global	0.95	borough_bin	38	1037	757	32.17394297396732	267	0.7032191732626382	0.7596439169139466
random	global	0.95	borough_bin	39	914	562	35.56028961939456	208	0.5839888510631707	0.6451943010216311
random	global	0.95	borough_bin	40	258	110	29.330449997697666	188	0.3688112867720632	0.48462121212121206
random	mondrian	0.95	all	all	7497013	7123144	32.54915469617119	347	0.9492840286334749	0.9509348995818413
random	mondrian	0.95	bin	0	746041	708889	23.277502706681517	347	0.9483234328829104	0.9519907887804694
random	mondrian	0.95	bin	1	751838	714339	25.674365320924533	346	0.9487686760155533	0.951364664059598
random	mondrian	0.95	bin	2	749162	711821	27.51552212497141	347	0.948524584639063	0.9516175920288974
random	mondrian	0.95	bin	3	736694	700327	28.53128875009937	346	0.9493528745140714	0.9518361430481351
random	mondrian	0.95	bin	4	761776	723522	29.000709183513834	346	0.948481857031124	0.9509869189796922
random	mondrian	0.95	bin	5	752116	714333	30.235129367234023	345	0.9482202419072662	0.9511965859392686
random	mondrian	0.95	bin	6	738417	701514	31.307157608340482	347	0.9487416847066009	0.9511461843264616