Conformal coverage

Empirical coverage of each conformal method on held-out trips, overall and by bin, borough and hour, with mean interval width (lower end clipped at 0) and a 95% interval from a bootstrap that resamples whole test days (B = 2,000, seed 20190101).

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conformal_coverage, page 22 of 58
schemeTEXT	methodTEXT	levelREAL	group_typeTEXT	group_valueTEXT	tripsINTEGER	coveredINTEGER	mean_widthREAL	daysINTEGER	ci_lowREAL	ci_highREAL
random	global	0.95	hour	23	312090	298838	31.30567312109535	346	0.9558261468109743	0.959118307081295
random	global	0.95	borough_bin	0	683897	675278	28.57231787681831	347	0.9855392374693077	0.9893344532998694
random	global	0.95	borough_bin	1	694595	682114	29.56986985595461	346	0.9808785510230166	0.9831306304071892
random	global	0.95	borough_bin	2	690069	674585	30.008501561240905	346	0.975824014758929	0.9790573421038484
random	global	0.95	borough_bin	3	688656	670370	30.340848675136215	347	0.971615705376039	0.9752000194344433
random	global	0.95	borough_bin	4	689453	670766	30.61389715867866	346	0.9712822955013286	0.9743589072029158
random	global	0.95	borough_bin	5	693533	671315	30.849579621537128	345	0.9659750494894002	0.9699528882225064
random	global	0.95	borough_bin	6	667198	644057	31.11185260677683	345	0.9631652939482428	0.9672050781188932
random	global	0.95	borough_bin	7	706923	679912	31.450445302404663	347	0.9598957017606339	0.9636034711913573
random	global	0.95	borough_bin	8	697520	664952	31.91886540061377	346	0.9509985630010184	0.9554240353076697
random	global	0.95	borough_bin	9	688079	602857	33.75775488922807	346	0.8713930141217847	0.8804651018267101
random	global	0.95	borough_bin	10	8072	7012	30.481209705575274	341	0.8597736587166078	0.8766631148095527
random	global	0.95	borough_bin	11	8132	6873	31.799470571803013	330	0.8344295882156528	0.854814520290389
random	global	0.95	borough_bin	12	7997	6676	32.389610513943374	336	0.8240159422496484	0.8463408208397535
random	global	0.95	borough_bin	13	8106	6923	32.86474338898514	341	0.8445120067067753	0.8636660785120179
random	global	0.95	borough_bin	14	8104	7037	33.37465835053921	344	0.8570199376071547	0.8806992839220129
random	global	0.95	borough_bin	15	7867	7132	34.059728609598665	342	0.8964943505425066	0.9170706568739401
random	global	0.95	borough_bin	16	8365	8025	34.984042518528085	345	0.9527339852623598	0.9656232374451984
random	global	0.95	borough_bin	17	7989	7774	35.68687260015248	346	0.9687229880103813	0.9771185919507741
random	global	0.95	borough_bin	18	7990	7583	35.69402864287997	345	0.9439549496706208	0.9538332874032467
random	global	0.95	borough_bin	19	8278	6251	35.694028642880724	345	0.7447693531401606	0.765992786294351
random	global	0.95	borough_bin	20	50246	46375	31.430331705519798	346	0.9186645119411357	0.9270320349647692
random	global	0.95	borough_bin	21	50758	44513	35.39048369211682	345	0.8699475188240382	0.8836865048931056
random	global	0.95	borough_bin	22	51100	44833	35.694028642906304	345	0.8711549825101285	0.882903231221381
random	global	0.95	borough_bin	23	50677	43018	35.694028642905856	345	0.8395788307321914	0.8577731764088795