Conformal coverage

Empirical coverage of each conformal method on held-out trips, overall and by bin, borough and hour, with mean interval width (lower end clipped at 0) and a 95% interval from a bootstrap that resamples whole test days (B = 2,000, seed 20190101).

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conformal_coverage, page 21 of 58
schemeTEXT	methodTEXT	levelREAL	group_typeTEXT	group_valueTEXT	tripsINTEGER	coveredINTEGER	mean_widthREAL	daysINTEGER	ci_lowREAL	ci_highREAL
random	global	0.95	borough	Bronx	9903	7574	30.75407256361113	344	0.7522409306477031	0.777447059869671
random	global	0.95	borough	Staten Island	258	110	29.330449997697666	188	0.3688112867720632	0.48462121212121206
random	global	0.95	hour	00	221721	212245	30.885406266591584	345	0.9556390253019094	0.9588412631022674
random	global	0.95	hour	01	153861	149182	30.599834219892887	345	0.9663659990279776	0.9719466075391738
random	global	0.95	hour	02	106424	104025	30.73574815375169	344	0.9760688717513105	0.9788270717084535
random	global	0.95	hour	03	73054	71426	30.813163566523386	345	0.9761670559800747	0.9791729256320318
random	global	0.95	hour	04	56261	54247	31.16944608474148	345	0.962240436111703	0.9660385553850771
random	global	0.95	hour	05	65924	64067	29.74494402965543	346	0.9703934799269162	0.9731990993281578
random	global	0.95	hour	06	153536	149009	29.463736593582873	346	0.969204673021683	0.971748620503135
random	global	0.95	hour	07	272387	261990	30.764115696305275	345	0.9603326374137509	0.9634720325542298
random	global	0.95	hour	08	342210	324727	31.089621967771322	346	0.9465751309250483	0.9512550698237184
random	global	0.95	hour	09	349529	330856	31.006967150712516	346	0.9436426150530126	0.9494528894166031
random	global	0.95	hour	10	354160	336649	30.95987004551575	346	0.9474656200236347	0.9534654793117994
random	global	0.95	hour	11	371483	351909	30.91046637740303	345	0.9440889963383947	0.9504113533602246
random	global	0.95	hour	12	392878	371812	30.92283899109977	345	0.9433333249753912	0.9491621966412702
random	global	0.95	hour	13	396852	374832	30.977396576246228	347	0.9414444656930195	0.9473663928109984
random	global	0.95	hour	14	416534	388876	31.582479716866132	346	0.9299198214711328	0.9370857684519464
random	global	0.95	hour	15	418150	386221	32.024757151277335	347	0.9197593954900842	0.9274299195423839
random	global	0.95	hour	16	390287	357888	32.06578514984441	346	0.9125343588390635	0.9211666689491181
random	global	0.95	hour	17	444650	411522	31.867270309149564	346	0.9214259527126298	0.929318072498413
random	global	0.95	hour	18	493125	467001	30.93594462797556	346	0.9440371588247971	0.9498975459219673
random	global	0.95	hour	19	465712	449272	30.983703774420636	346	0.9623629596194194	0.9666924369058366
random	global	0.95	hour	20	427221	413855	31.082897298757675	347	0.9669229202908545	0.9702292383703046
random	global	0.95	hour	21	423969	410863	31.127712851811086	345	0.9674316950245937	0.9706245052263675
random	global	0.95	hour	22	394995	381071	31.172830481382874	345	0.9630308373877516	0.9663079969254086