Conformal coverage

Empirical coverage of each conformal method on held-out trips, overall and by bin, borough and hour, with mean interval width (lower end clipped at 0) and a 95% interval from a bootstrap that resamples whole test days (B = 2,000, seed 20190101).

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conformal_coverage, page 20 of 58
schemeTEXT	methodTEXT	levelREAL	group_typeTEXT	group_valueTEXT	tripsINTEGER	coveredINTEGER	mean_widthREAL	daysINTEGER	ci_lowREAL	ci_highREAL
random	mondrian_borough	0.9	borough_bin	30	1045	935	48.14052321987518	298	0.8717896865520728	0.9146005509641874
random	mondrian_borough	0.9	borough_bin	31	1035	924	43.23767111005162	178	0.8716573549365473	0.9117660026973752
random	mondrian_borough	0.9	borough_bin	32	1032	925	48.856935583573936	216	0.8764591439688716	0.9146708894727816
random	mondrian_borough	0.9	borough_bin	33	884	787	47.46723926390634	187	0.867735233437308	0.9112903225806451
random	mondrian_borough	0.9	borough_bin	34	1017	914	49.595761451889786	185	0.8786439919893774	0.9180167023202238
random	mondrian_borough	0.9	borough_bin	35	934	849	50.27737263569978	162	0.8871261913192293	0.9304761205316099
random	mondrian_borough	0.9	borough_bin	36	1011	904	45.960790977194804	173	0.8769668801710699	0.9105217655783877
random	mondrian_borough	0.9	borough_bin	37	994	895	54.505518676209405	249	0.8812991059652561	0.9189196034940716
random	mondrian_borough	0.9	borough_bin	38	1037	949	61.40744143612357	267	0.8979174795716196	0.9315510054695919
random	mondrian_borough	0.9	borough_bin	39	914	831	64.35282782024335	208	0.8866745221917094	0.9270164020506018
random	mondrian_borough	0.9	borough_bin	40	258	233	94.39478394004769	188	0.8642519970951343	0.9369378832614127
random	global	0.95	all	all	7497013	7122383	31.150865043155775	347	0.9481235924061471	0.9517279107595722
random	global	0.95	bin	0	746041	735775	28.62695434108407	347	0.9845001874354987	0.9880281854467006
random	global	0.95	bin	1	751838	737684	29.628775080845493	346	0.9800037737261733	0.9822509145033126
random	global	0.95	bin	2	749162	730952	30.083700623080254	347	0.9739067918906494	0.9771978855625476
random	global	0.95	bin	3	736694	716663	30.414978208973967	346	0.9712237907339041	0.9743519587823797
random	global	0.95	bin	4	761776	739589	30.699785137821518	346	0.969228082908847	0.9724445227011679
random	global	0.95	bin	5	752116	726881	30.957889829186268	345	0.9644379325591182	0.968424808154008
random	global	0.95	bin	6	738417	710841	31.280777377758007	347	0.9607141491876546	0.9644957661700959
random	global	0.95	bin	7	761703	729018	31.701320965177914	345	0.9549662950501293	0.9589377851060654
random	global	0.95	bin	8	751753	698789	32.542040730130886	346	0.9267396985932951	0.9321491639606624
random	global	0.95	bin	9	747513	596191	35.56100382929456	346	0.7903588814523913	0.8048430647783078
random	global	0.95	borough	Manhattan	6899923	6636206	30.821627041789743	347	0.9602344034345306	0.9631654911092634
random	global	0.95	borough	Brooklyn	80900	71286	33.70691544749629	346	0.8769178895815793	0.885445309091562
random	global	0.95	borough	Queens	506029	407207	35.240218582362246	346	0.796579341663962	0.812787599035315