Conformal coverage

Empirical coverage of each conformal method on held-out trips, overall and by bin, borough and hour, with mean interval width (lower end clipped at 0) and a 95% interval from a bootstrap that resamples whole test days (B = 2,000, seed 20190101).

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conformal_coverage, page 1 of 58
schemeTEXT	methodTEXT	levelREAL	group_typeTEXT	group_valueTEXT	tripsINTEGER	coveredINTEGER	mean_widthREAL	daysINTEGER	ci_lowREAL	ci_highREAL
random	global	0.8	all	all	7497013	5998194	18.737368813788137	347	0.7962233925400647	0.8039388411049206
random	global	0.8	bin	0	746041	692604	18.718850410121625	347	0.9230776395882069	0.9341952259530186
random	global	0.8	bin	1	751838	672338	18.739415256306557	346	0.8916272891504576	0.8968336495559132
random	global	0.8	bin	2	749162	648289	18.739415256306557	347	0.8619179206874797	0.8684720445033446
random	global	0.8	bin	3	736694	625577	18.739415256306557	346	0.8459250128722795	0.8522890573256688
random	global	0.8	bin	4	761776	637446	18.739415256306557	346	0.8336316919554695	0.8398437109662631
random	global	0.8	bin	5	752116	616700	18.739415256306557	345	0.8165536567217618	0.8234111627100317
random	global	0.8	bin	6	738417	592294	18.739415256306557	347	0.798808745363019	0.8049990262483732
random	global	0.8	bin	7	761703	595627	18.739415256306557	345	0.7784294474500661	0.784996991928433
random	global	0.8	bin	8	751753	538903	18.739415256306557	346	0.7126725803443211	0.7204178017164451
random	global	0.8	bin	9	747513	378416	18.739415256306557	346	0.49939233878531036	0.5128475702536254
random	global	0.8	borough	Manhattan	6899923	5690948	18.73723087108013	347	0.821063442827137	0.8284961997760308
random	global	0.8	borough	Brooklyn	80900	44332	18.738917635724587	346	0.5415329187188963	0.5546976678819988
random	global	0.8	borough	Queens	506029	257044	18.739078219120984	346	0.4996589787249521	0.5160231491806249
random	global	0.8	borough	Bronx	9903	5799	18.734455710127907	344	0.5718390951321196	0.5994957579121021
random	global	0.8	borough	Staten Island	258	71	18.699900029464054	188	0.2217300033189512	0.32661491132245213
random	global	0.8	hour	00	221721	179029	18.738377605428816	345	0.8032144863739322	0.8118422614131652
random	global	0.8	hour	01	153861	128822	18.738385609864146	345	0.8319168258677363	0.8424020338577565
random	global	0.8	hour	02	106424	89781	18.738991795569767	344	0.8376430915541316	0.8492986211018569
random	global	0.8	hour	03	73054	60649	18.739075772151505	345	0.8232522748878948	0.8367832993778215
random	global	0.8	hour	04	56261	44282	18.73882973134686	345	0.7802131425685244	0.793433924900283
random	global	0.8	hour	05	65924	56775	18.66657354708187	346	0.8574948200990673	0.8650105935066593
random	global	0.8	hour	06	153536	138352	18.702241391894812	346	0.8983988337646174	0.9037689377701119
random	global	0.8	hour	07	272387	229980	18.738373545139005	345	0.8414201690565563	0.8473598078716702
random	global	0.8	hour	08	342210	273516	18.738986725050356	346	0.7951892368036145	0.8035163572811235