Conformal coverage
Empirical coverage of each conformal method on held-out trips, overall and by bin, borough and hour, with mean interval width (lower end clipped at 0) and a 95% interval from a bootstrap that resamples whole test days (B = 2,000, seed 20190101).
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| schemeTEXT | methodTEXT | levelREAL | group_typeTEXT | group_valueTEXT | tripsINTEGER | coveredINTEGER | mean_widthREAL | daysINTEGER | ci_lowREAL | ci_highREAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| random | mondrian | 0.9 | borough_bin | 36 | 1011 | 750 | 24.29352500175976 | 173 | 0.717448221099229 | 0.764830290637585 |
| random | mondrian | 0.9 | borough_bin | 37 | 994 | 664 | 25.63237936465867 | 249 | 0.6415455742016066 | 0.6953414430288244 |
| random | mondrian | 0.9 | borough_bin | 38 | 1037 | 723 | 29.11029173125031 | 267 | 0.6690389880228743 | 0.7268406986995811 |
| random | mondrian | 0.9 | borough_bin | 39 | 914 | 722 | 47.70245098131446 | 208 | 0.759071908264425 | 0.8189828277886497 |
| random | mondrian | 0.9 | borough_bin | 40 | 258 | 91 | 22.268796217546196 | 188 | 0.29089442815249267 | 0.416988416988417 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | all | all | 7497013 | 6747395 | 26.42052649639378 | 347 | 0.8987203266782369 | 0.9012851303046013 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | bin | 0 | 746041 | 672116 | 18.754069841987622 | 347 | 0.897683794075346 | 0.9040110895541018 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | bin | 1 | 751838 | 677691 | 20.96028261458382 | 346 | 0.8991393565109176 | 0.9035114312599725 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | bin | 2 | 749162 | 673467 | 22.390716919441054 | 347 | 0.896533671256212 | 0.9013252295113943 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | bin | 3 | 736694 | 663952 | 23.416448390499212 | 346 | 0.8991693981245015 | 0.9032464640487979 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | bin | 4 | 761776 | 685519 | 23.920620375561747 | 346 | 0.8979108243554977 | 0.9018295959012794 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | bin | 5 | 752116 | 676898 | 24.84422374363615 | 345 | 0.8977818263515094 | 0.9022203609762242 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | bin | 6 | 738417 | 664382 | 25.765753784531675 | 347 | 0.8975785208675685 | 0.901711973006842 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | bin | 7 | 761703 | 686830 | 27.157169670565366 | 345 | 0.8998656254529108 | 0.9034366584638446 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | bin | 8 | 751753 | 689886 | 33.60126073091995 | 346 | 0.9159564886572965 | 0.9194347123682279 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | bin | 9 | 747513 | 656654 | 43.371349891535736 | 346 | 0.8747663486411256 | 0.8821713303775289 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | borough | Manhattan | 6899923 | 6210162 | 24.781393856519422 | 347 | 0.8988062892505623 | 0.9012393900929072 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | borough | Brooklyn | 80900 | 72675 | 37.25244730634346 | 346 | 0.8953598836526164 | 0.9014766114108145 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | borough | Queens | 506029 | 455412 | 46.51761913656432 | 346 | 0.8961083818795811 | 0.9038333571504742 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | borough | Bronx | 9903 | 8913 | 51.295570581905736 | 344 | 0.89367137301418 | 0.9063874443161132 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | borough | Staten Island | 258 | 233 | 94.39478394004769 | 188 | 0.8642519970951343 | 0.9369378832614127 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | hour | 00 | 221721 | 198254 | 25.569180440838704 | 345 | 0.8916868039208131 | 0.8964882780307525 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | hour | 01 | 153861 | 138494 | 24.53873234827741 | 345 | 0.8967931950324055 | 0.9029806021613388 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | hour | 02 | 106424 | 95735 | 24.74669945249575 | 344 | 0.8968106479355009 | 0.9022764721519394 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | hour | 03 | 73054 | 64791 | 24.937701882402653 | 345 | 0.883064458876828 | 0.8903191418516376 |