Conformal coverage
Empirical coverage of each conformal method on held-out trips, overall and by bin, borough and hour, with mean interval width (lower end clipped at 0) and a 95% interval from a bootstrap that resamples whole test days (B = 2,000, seed 20190101).
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| schemeTEXT | methodTEXT | levelREAL | group_typeTEXT | group_valueTEXT | tripsINTEGER | coveredINTEGER | mean_widthREAL | daysINTEGER | ci_lowREAL | ci_highREAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | hour | 04 | 56261 | 48025 | 26.180691095563628 | 345 | 0.8492499581047985 | 0.8577940039694119 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | hour | 05 | 65924 | 59962 | 24.501865765494998 | 346 | 0.9068205457119657 | 0.9125032571609696 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | hour | 06 | 153536 | 142522 | 22.73948572644435 | 346 | 0.9259422209255401 | 0.9305565137170634 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | hour | 07 | 272387 | 246353 | 25.005488614421655 | 345 | 0.9025915963459809 | 0.90630449317038 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | hour | 08 | 342210 | 306455 | 25.940637617355556 | 346 | 0.8931393231778249 | 0.8978228102948811 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | hour | 09 | 349529 | 311851 | 25.677986870223954 | 346 | 0.889663198293208 | 0.8945925553375353 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | hour | 10 | 354160 | 317503 | 25.569290394629103 | 346 | 0.8938008708738696 | 0.8991075439635227 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | hour | 11 | 371483 | 332037 | 25.37045731308063 | 345 | 0.8907835458444426 | 0.8966319375137841 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | hour | 12 | 392878 | 350571 | 25.425742009177256 | 345 | 0.8896092095747932 | 0.8950371998236758 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | hour | 13 | 396852 | 354510 | 25.63766644125709 | 347 | 0.8904573177501746 | 0.895986510716973 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | hour | 14 | 416534 | 373022 | 27.84306955416472 | 346 | 0.893121932836512 | 0.8977872374569666 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | hour | 15 | 418150 | 373431 | 29.830041282507228 | 347 | 0.8906874881579687 | 0.8953546944947426 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | hour | 16 | 390287 | 345037 | 30.1204925643903 | 346 | 0.8812643090138284 | 0.8868966914921018 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | hour | 17 | 444650 | 396183 | 29.16854152748421 | 346 | 0.8883457487939094 | 0.8935992260712229 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | hour | 18 | 493125 | 441997 | 25.47188338673108 | 346 | 0.8933077359909098 | 0.8991658861236445 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | hour | 19 | 465712 | 424799 | 25.632899702630972 | 346 | 0.9097119278216326 | 0.9144523786284041 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | hour | 20 | 427221 | 391434 | 26.052079431791665 | 347 | 0.9139985217700203 | 0.918225143863023 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | hour | 21 | 423969 | 389845 | 26.194172922760163 | 345 | 0.9174946950510223 | 0.9214712539746253 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | hour | 22 | 394995 | 361901 | 26.304712355259387 | 345 | 0.9141798756384755 | 0.918180371394187 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | hour | 23 | 312090 | 282683 | 26.81055025217163 | 346 | 0.9038697197385843 | 0.9076292342179322 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | borough_bin | 0 | 683897 | 615164 | 18.421178084080182 | 347 | 0.8960029279454954 | 0.9028362568921998 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | borough_bin | 1 | 694595 | 625554 | 20.680753512417944 | 346 | 0.8985109395577184 | 0.9025994627974685 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | borough_bin | 2 | 690069 | 620601 | 22.016915217034406 | 346 | 0.8968563508366603 | 0.9016062782697135 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | borough_bin | 3 | 688656 | 620308 | 23.232013856618728 | 347 | 0.8982718803532133 | 0.9030685540182977 |
| random | mondrian_borough | 0.9 | borough_bin | 4 | 689453 | 620759 | 23.52499362417505 | 346 | 0.8984396325735866 | 0.9022112682959944 |