Conformal coverage

Empirical coverage of each conformal method on held-out trips, overall and by bin, borough and hour, with mean interval width (lower end clipped at 0) and a 95% interval from a bootstrap that resamples whole test days (B = 2,000, seed 20190101).

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conformal_coverage, page 16 of 58
schemeTEXT	methodTEXT	levelREAL	group_typeTEXT	group_valueTEXT	tripsINTEGER	coveredINTEGER	mean_widthREAL	daysINTEGER	ci_lowREAL	ci_highREAL
random	mondrian	0.9	borough_bin	11	8132	6521	28.152733773506245	330	0.7912055334332287	0.8119087435298221
random	mondrian	0.9	borough_bin	12	7997	6557	31.114076486236083	336	0.8096337250381228	0.8304046401934128
random	mondrian	0.9	borough_bin	13	8106	6587	31.11407648623608	341	0.8029731360080662	0.8217929664311912
random	mondrian	0.9	borough_bin	14	8104	6271	31.11407648623608	344	0.7629606269113149	0.7848825294453932
random	mondrian	0.9	borough_bin	15	7867	7149	43.00703629012526	342	0.9000340579571109	0.9172601786275171
random	mondrian	0.9	borough_bin	16	8365	8203	46.63760414576393	345	0.9763968341168133	0.9848085158714597
random	mondrian	0.9	borough_bin	17	7989	7919	47.79173235655457	346	0.9886134382811308	0.9935929713060756
random	mondrian	0.9	borough_bin	18	7990	7804	48.127619263642934	345	0.9733169802663512	0.9798956610255758
random	mondrian	0.9	borough_bin	19	8278	6929	48.12761926364345	345	0.8284536051102211	0.8453811396205843
random	mondrian	0.9	borough_bin	20	50246	40721	27.07829829653472	346	0.805080076158929	0.8155634963627836
random	mondrian	0.9	borough_bin	21	50758	46971	46.20220453424271	345	0.9179830620154701	0.9321264228753013
random	mondrian	0.9	borough_bin	22	51100	48284	48.127619263676486	345	0.9416560432079099	0.9479401535088972
random	mondrian	0.9	borough_bin	23	50677	47446	48.12761926367615	345	0.9322421498233288	0.9401371796575194
random	mondrian	0.9	borough_bin	24	50519	46449	48.12761926367603	346	0.9128755465764075	0.9257868834879722
random	mondrian	0.9	borough_bin	25	50834	45911	48.12761926367628	345	0.8960786123352042	0.9100427991309782
random	mondrian	0.9	borough_bin	26	50632	44124	48.12761926367612	345	0.8633484635428765	0.879503699541326
random	mondrian	0.9	borough_bin	27	50618	38617	48.12761926367611	345	0.7502198148192597	0.7747979771699284
random	mondrian	0.9	borough_bin	28	50447	44621	48.127619263675975	345	0.8770036857469322	0.891812832085589
random	mondrian	0.9	borough_bin	29	50198	42687	48.127619263675776	344	0.8398108381082547	0.8606548408456792
random	mondrian	0.9	borough_bin	30	1045	555	18.725664041170212	298	0.4843877083404053	0.5723561553179346
random	mondrian	0.9	borough_bin	31	1035	704	19.938375654073834	178	0.6438624900085445	0.7090734265734265
random	mondrian	0.9	borough_bin	32	1032	689	21.762798299990642	216	0.6291073628281809	0.7061444997629208
random	mondrian	0.9	borough_bin	33	884	600	22.490832233791764	187	0.6451977975115393	0.710971798106397
random	mondrian	0.9	borough_bin	34	1017	704	23.293091127362235	185	0.6620171673819742	0.7213629992452598
random	mondrian	0.9	borough_bin	35	934	671	23.59367411967553	162	0.6822801073529131	0.7532996041950848