Conformal coverage
Empirical coverage of each conformal method on held-out trips, overall and by bin, borough and hour, with mean interval width (lower end clipped at 0) and a 95% interval from a bootstrap that resamples whole test days (B = 2,000, seed 20190101).
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| schemeTEXT | methodTEXT | levelREAL | group_typeTEXT | group_valueTEXT | tripsINTEGER | coveredINTEGER | mean_widthREAL | daysINTEGER | ci_lowREAL | ci_highREAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| random | mondrian | 0.9 | hour | 10 | 354160 | 317919 | 25.81296733810218 | 346 | 0.8950695848639421 | 0.9002369590259234 |
| random | mondrian | 0.9 | hour | 11 | 371483 | 332436 | 25.64854565772459 | 345 | 0.8920147384735276 | 0.8977249536938932 |
| random | mondrian | 0.9 | hour | 12 | 392878 | 350921 | 25.738400178931563 | 345 | 0.8905422433404258 | 0.8957686871947959 |
| random | mondrian | 0.9 | hour | 13 | 396852 | 354852 | 25.983475252822284 | 347 | 0.8913619306555929 | 0.8967440073066663 |
| random | mondrian | 0.9 | hour | 14 | 416534 | 373318 | 28.034317657014547 | 346 | 0.893856893896272 | 0.8985563927563073 |
| random | mondrian | 0.9 | hour | 15 | 418150 | 372973 | 29.675284440332568 | 347 | 0.8894126202236986 | 0.8944728930724679 |
| random | mondrian | 0.9 | hour | 16 | 390287 | 344186 | 29.807201692976637 | 346 | 0.8788112496859949 | 0.8849410186840533 |
| random | mondrian | 0.9 | hour | 17 | 444650 | 395649 | 28.980892094789162 | 346 | 0.8869418970143044 | 0.8923903422770386 |
| random | mondrian | 0.9 | hour | 18 | 493125 | 442391 | 25.680069976395288 | 346 | 0.8941757207150127 | 0.8998906077756881 |
| random | mondrian | 0.9 | hour | 19 | 465712 | 425012 | 25.82665564623331 | 346 | 0.9102071790566639 | 0.9148546159487142 |
| random | mondrian | 0.9 | hour | 20 | 427221 | 391392 | 26.243601875041563 | 347 | 0.9140470909882442 | 0.9180552452726783 |
| random | mondrian | 0.9 | hour | 21 | 423969 | 389763 | 26.409239447583804 | 345 | 0.9173482526898199 | 0.9213016659242739 |
| random | mondrian | 0.9 | hour | 22 | 394995 | 361520 | 26.559763924135535 | 345 | 0.9132205187490566 | 0.9172204366940424 |
| random | mondrian | 0.9 | hour | 23 | 312090 | 281882 | 27.098829559711763 | 346 | 0.9013116091911282 | 0.9050380927725507 |
| random | mondrian | 0.9 | borough_bin | 0 | 683897 | 617713 | 18.727230214155522 | 347 | 0.8998127184626193 | 0.9064653781143294 |
| random | mondrian | 0.9 | borough_bin | 1 | 694595 | 625173 | 20.698162992345726 | 346 | 0.8980438667503631 | 0.902042137552821 |
| random | mondrian | 0.9 | borough_bin | 2 | 690069 | 621738 | 22.23308078549897 | 346 | 0.8986516070367692 | 0.9030667532680914 |
| random | mondrian | 0.9 | borough_bin | 3 | 688656 | 620236 | 23.201711752700643 | 347 | 0.8981540714394278 | 0.9029252855743249 |
| random | mondrian | 0.9 | borough_bin | 4 | 689453 | 621978 | 23.732222708330653 | 346 | 0.900231990952259 | 0.9038927766063743 |
| random | mondrian | 0.9 | borough_bin | 5 | 693533 | 624726 | 24.46363732472946 | 345 | 0.8984649120409589 | 0.903158060216817 |
| random | mondrian | 0.9 | borough_bin | 6 | 667198 | 600590 | 25.30947712356652 | 345 | 0.897860786943572 | 0.9021029129511907 |
| random | mondrian | 0.9 | borough_bin | 7 | 706923 | 637876 | 26.287218407786582 | 347 | 0.9002773105832785 | 0.9043217908691293 |
| random | mondrian | 0.9 | borough_bin | 8 | 697520 | 632976 | 28.548754523786847 | 346 | 0.9054393686496813 | 0.9094529364166063 |
| random | mondrian | 0.9 | borough_bin | 9 | 688079 | 622327 | 37.27389086616606 | 346 | 0.9018716932992903 | 0.9070282823591846 |
| random | mondrian | 0.9 | borough_bin | 10 | 8072 | 6250 | 23.56432738279653 | 341 | 0.761770316231606 | 0.7854404208195109 |