Conformal coverage

Empirical coverage of each conformal method on held-out trips, overall and by bin, borough and hour, with mean interval width (lower end clipped at 0) and a 95% interval from a bootstrap that resamples whole test days (B = 2,000, seed 20190101).

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conformal_coverage, page 14 of 58
schemeTEXT	methodTEXT	levelREAL	group_typeTEXT	group_valueTEXT	tripsINTEGER	coveredINTEGER	mean_widthREAL	daysINTEGER	ci_lowREAL	ci_highREAL
random	mondrian	0.9	bin	0	746041	671241	18.727342443588775	347	0.8967902500937418	0.9026433295811289
random	mondrian	0.9	bin	1	751838	676741	20.8715843465184	346	0.8981480172149162	0.902084483027294
random	mondrian	0.9	bin	2	749162	674101	22.490832233793423	347	0.8974953461567382	0.9020504341678004
random	mondrian	0.9	bin	3	736694	663874	23.424353165716923	346	0.8991406942307079	0.90313454493957
random	mondrian	0.9	bin	4	761776	685509	23.864870633526667	346	0.8978497238206499	0.9017673361147831
random	mondrian	0.9	bin	5	752116	676776	24.85883752959935	345	0.8976249548438953	0.9019163264845401
random	mondrian	0.9	bin	6	738417	664222	25.74845248670987	347	0.8974098903914148	0.9013463724907043
random	mondrian	0.9	bin	7	761703	685884	26.95822690429089	345	0.8985121984516237	0.9022988915138785
random	mondrian	0.9	bin	8	751753	676778	31.11407648646324	346	0.8982058555730159	0.9022026855516225
random	mondrian	0.9	bin	9	747513	673101	47.895351274430304	346	0.896762025874432	0.9042399053046675
random	mondrian	0.9	borough	Manhattan	6899923	6225333	25.052956021953573	347	0.9009890928307022	0.9034415768397451
random	mondrian	0.9	borough	Brooklyn	80900	70190	37.892903638265864	346	0.8641016694008327	0.8712008126076135
random	mondrian	0.9	borough	Queens	506029	445831	45.84440153822183	346	0.8770671838260091	0.8852450325083181
random	mondrian	0.9	borough	Bronx	9903	6782	25.456726058472235	344	0.6728648915482961	0.6966645298806744
random	mondrian	0.9	borough	Staten Island	258	91	22.268796217546196	188	0.29089442815249267	0.416988416988417
random	mondrian	0.9	hour	00	221721	197368	25.87818474788963	345	0.8877582918374723	0.8925342809387877
random	mondrian	0.9	hour	01	153861	137846	24.779070041935245	345	0.8925349416667805	0.8988640572644817
random	mondrian	0.9	hour	02	106424	95530	25.005120399592975	344	0.8948768673422097	0.9004638837636912
random	mondrian	0.9	hour	03	73054	64880	25.281748809916504	345	0.8843417941964753	0.891380794326407
random	mondrian	0.9	hour	04	56261	49135	27.100599051308432	345	0.8697254859320089	0.8766256850593804
random	mondrian	0.9	hour	05	65924	60962	25.236566582102725	346	0.9221494678815081	0.9274935730795684
random	mondrian	0.9	hour	06	153536	142785	23.0389298250231	346	0.9276655448810226	0.93229640524833
random	mondrian	0.9	hour	07	272387	246648	25.25335970421242	345	0.9037230511314405	0.9073869536575815
random	mondrian	0.9	hour	08	342210	306748	26.108140048189036	346	0.8939756480034453	0.8987052182118853
random	mondrian	0.9	hour	09	349529	312111	25.866107618277802	346	0.890492559539488	0.8952469281914487