Conformal coverage

Empirical coverage of each conformal method on held-out trips, overall and by bin, borough and hour, with mean interval width (lower end clipped at 0) and a 95% interval from a bootstrap that resamples whole test days (B = 2,000, seed 20190101).

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conformal_coverage, page 13 of 58
schemeTEXT	methodTEXT	levelREAL	group_typeTEXT	group_valueTEXT	tripsINTEGER	coveredINTEGER	mean_widthREAL	daysINTEGER	ci_lowREAL	ci_highREAL
random	global	0.9	borough_bin	17	7989	5844	25.34512145394346	346	0.7195412884146669	0.7423892429868298
random	global	0.9	borough_bin	18	7990	5757	25.345121453943463	345	0.7093326036399024	0.7320524694368764
random	global	0.9	borough_bin	19	8278	4270	25.345121453943786	345	0.5038467453280302	0.5277289814937967
random	global	0.9	borough_bin	20	50246	43282	25.148717717727404	346	0.8557032313447382	0.8669257197715832
random	global	0.9	borough_bin	21	50758	34636	25.345121453962594	345	0.672349105322284	0.6925236987448855
random	global	0.9	borough_bin	22	51100	37034	25.345121453962722	345	0.7151555504606203	0.7340811938942745
random	global	0.9	borough_bin	23	50677	35785	25.345121453962562	345	0.6943015689883165	0.7174557190691933
random	global	0.9	borough_bin	24	50519	33254	25.345121453962502	346	0.6453878820669262	0.6704778827596075
random	global	0.9	borough_bin	25	50834	31127	25.345121453962623	345	0.597088520882035	0.6278191417909192
random	global	0.9	borough_bin	26	50632	29784	25.34512145396255	345	0.574457640442161	0.6027214892586699
random	global	0.9	borough_bin	27	50618	26030	25.34512145396254	345	0.5000916816278677	0.5273208004485286
random	global	0.9	borough_bin	28	50447	31014	25.345121453962477	345	0.6010526427783413	0.6276666951489559
random	global	0.9	borough_bin	29	50198	27119	25.34512145396238	344	0.5230283232840832	0.5573207227629043
random	global	0.9	borough_bin	30	1045	648	22.8368828791654	298	0.5728404710032614	0.6594549871990898
random	global	0.9	borough_bin	31	1035	781	24.177610706416893	178	0.7178476328944359	0.7839572464572464
random	global	0.9	borough_bin	32	1032	743	24.690806613672994	216	0.6833864592630371	0.7550748069498069
random	global	0.9	borough_bin	33	884	651	24.96743843683755	187	0.7043933976384501	0.7675580401652187
random	global	0.9	borough_bin	34	1017	739	25.16662846117502	185	0.6976044296948272	0.753752788397412
random	global	0.9	borough_bin	35	934	687	25.335567489426587	162	0.6993419365368025	0.7720111214087118
random	global	0.9	borough_bin	36	1011	762	25.345121453939285	173	0.7264466905133466	0.7783369041944411
random	global	0.9	borough_bin	37	994	643	25.345121453939303	249	0.6183558071858702	0.6756526560306783
random	global	0.9	borough_bin	38	1037	678	25.345121453939257	267	0.6254068243264028	0.6849907136693123
random	global	0.9	borough_bin	39	914	471	25.345121453939406	208	0.48263855373230374	0.5457740081829389
random	global	0.9	borough_bin	40	258	91	23.600390808071705	188	0.29288424519146633	0.4125918762088975
random	mondrian	0.9	all	all	7497013	6748227	26.595317809138834	347	0.898829604901995	0.9014018406732478