Conformal coverage

Empirical coverage of each conformal method on held-out trips, overall and by bin, borough and hour, with mean interval width (lower end clipped at 0) and a 95% interval from a bootstrap that resamples whole test days (B = 2,000, seed 20190101).

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conformal_coverage, page 12 of 58
schemeTEXT	methodTEXT	levelREAL	group_typeTEXT	group_valueTEXT	tripsINTEGER	coveredINTEGER	mean_widthREAL	daysINTEGER	ci_lowREAL	ci_highREAL
random	global	0.9	hour	16	390287	336508	25.27428245445092	346	0.8565909424883471	0.8674920129314713
random	global	0.9	hour	17	444650	386869	25.257817321328673	346	0.8648039502205634	0.8750252322356279
random	global	0.9	hour	18	493125	441368	25.000587655643024	346	0.8907383899324909	0.8990790761841877
random	global	0.9	hour	19	465712	428618	25.02628557538288	346	0.9165839831886051	0.9235929702111324
random	global	0.9	hour	20	427221	395005	25.046550209840255	347	0.9216020555383638	0.9271826898911694
random	global	0.9	hour	21	423969	392339	25.062220176084427	345	0.9225571512237426	0.9280175195077154
random	global	0.9	hour	22	394995	362321	25.083721259886314	345	0.9144915266060332	0.9199334080876511
random	global	0.9	hour	23	312090	282737	25.11603666690566	346	0.9033950809295932	0.9082585547441644
random	global	0.9	borough_bin	0	683897	662354	23.397864282373437	347	0.9643340326207737	0.9730080642766977
random	global	0.9	borough_bin	1	694595	664917	24.395416261438527	346	0.9551644046227098	0.9593699197036138
random	global	0.9	borough_bin	2	690069	653868	24.834047966738996	346	0.9444532539760446	0.9503124092182568
random	global	0.9	borough_bin	3	688656	647012	25.16639508065148	347	0.9363427538292964	0.9426082338312648
random	global	0.9	borough_bin	4	689453	646827	25.341873052695867	346	0.9352659127150206	0.9408104115257176
random	global	0.9	borough_bin	5	693533	644603	25.345121454112753	345	0.9261101231005586	0.9329260124668566
random	global	0.9	borough_bin	6	667198	617007	25.34512145409954	345	0.9213883054686096	0.9279786015338105
random	global	0.9	borough_bin	7	706923	648780	25.345121454119095	347	0.9145278882936214	0.9207638627952506
random	global	0.9	borough_bin	8	697520	629026	25.345121454114665	346	0.8979094200771413	0.905432445919634
random	global	0.9	borough_bin	9	688079	537506	25.3451214541101	346	0.7742746492358066	0.7873478799119565
random	global	0.9	borough_bin	10	8072	6228	25.003852400600266	341	0.7599713757839132	0.7819103645021589
random	global	0.9	borough_bin	11	8132	6054	25.345121453943623	330	0.7303011390571628	0.7579067351747432
random	global	0.9	borough_bin	12	7997	5966	25.34512145394347	336	0.7325803877836518	0.7604474304001696
random	global	0.9	borough_bin	13	8106	6190	25.345121453943595	341	0.7517017438307894	0.7768493545883
random	global	0.9	borough_bin	14	8104	6306	25.34512145394359	344	0.7643441675852511	0.7926065505011941
random	global	0.9	borough_bin	15	7867	6197	25.345121453943317	342	0.7767945316392626	0.7994654336585395
random	global	0.9	borough_bin	16	8365	6552	25.34512145394388	345	0.7738411620334187	0.7932445371291821