Conformal coverage

Empirical coverage of each conformal method on held-out trips, overall and by bin, borough and hour, with mean interval width (lower end clipped at 0) and a 95% interval from a bootstrap that resamples whole test days (B = 2,000, seed 20190101).

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conformal_coverage, page 11 of 58
schemeTEXT	methodTEXT	levelREAL	group_typeTEXT	group_valueTEXT	tripsINTEGER	coveredINTEGER	mean_widthREAL	daysINTEGER	ci_lowREAL	ci_highREAL
random	global	0.9	bin	6	738417	679189	25.3451214541331	347	0.9165859905315734	0.9227490544338661
random	global	0.9	bin	7	761703	692935	25.345121454142713	345	0.9062314022264727	0.9128602786429479
random	global	0.9	bin	8	751753	645752	25.345121454138678	346	0.8545524257571397	0.8629043071135176
random	global	0.9	bin	9	747513	481489	25.345121454136926	346	0.6365861166391724	0.6513422271837722
random	global	0.9	borough	Manhattan	6899923	6351900	24.987236242692482	347	0.9181365865319513	0.9227933853125649
random	global	0.9	borough	Brooklyn	80900	59364	25.31107047994426	346	0.7277802899826569	0.7397881417262261
random	global	0.9	borough	Queens	506029	329065	25.325619603044977	346	0.6414049513082317	0.6589582214880596
random	global	0.9	borough	Bronx	9903	6803	24.83728964407693	344	0.6732166011184622	0.700603637490674
random	global	0.9	borough	Staten Island	258	91	23.600390808071705	188	0.29288424519146633	0.4125918762088975
random	global	0.9	hour	00	221721	200732	24.86186095347439	345	0.9027383336064875	0.9076881367163426
random	global	0.9	hour	01	153861	143090	24.757189689162523	345	0.9265083286386887	0.9330919924181897
random	global	0.9	hour	02	106424	100659	24.903699911289287	344	0.9434536790420284	0.9480611288690354
random	global	0.9	hour	03	73054	68934	24.931465762864782	345	0.9411588355036091	0.9459217042496848
random	global	0.9	hour	04	56261	51453	24.922197677831033	345	0.9114963265291126	0.9174652150586365
random	global	0.9	hour	05	65924	60969	23.467897191293552	346	0.9219506795131999	0.9276364924394487
random	global	0.9	hour	06	153536	144863	23.615136440217967	346	0.9413179765404809	0.9455325633512011
random	global	0.9	hour	07	272387	253151	24.902255645099153	345	0.9273269704862069	0.9314976315876143
random	global	0.9	hour	08	342210	308031	25.085051815389797	346	0.896792800508639	0.9034348089611671
random	global	0.9	hour	09	349529	311901	25.037123088342636	346	0.8878456476248763	0.8968052809631772
random	global	0.9	hour	10	354160	317380	24.98432908450823	346	0.8913769949923711	0.900939052961722
random	global	0.9	hour	11	371483	330963	24.96171937082307	345	0.8859224327793754	0.89589071618743
random	global	0.9	hour	12	392878	349266	24.955392303868717	345	0.8844122760983932	0.8934399082676312
random	global	0.9	hour	13	396852	352405	24.963554937897307	347	0.883592568763924	0.8921839196630721
random	global	0.9	hour	14	416534	365118	25.17985670068566	346	0.871646969895698	0.8812866795288831
random	global	0.9	hour	15	418150	362543	25.269671699980467	347	0.861941636583156	0.8718919609674453