Conformal coverage

Empirical coverage of each conformal method on held-out trips, overall and by bin, borough and hour, with mean interval width (lower end clipped at 0) and a 95% interval from a bootstrap that resamples whole test days (B = 2,000, seed 20190101).

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conformal_coverage, page 55 of 58
schemeTEXT	methodTEXT	levelREAL	group_typeTEXT	group_valueTEXT	tripsINTEGER	coveredINTEGER	mean_widthREAL	daysINTEGER	ci_lowREAL	ci_highREAL
temporal	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	28	67805	64578	59.19129074330313	61	0.9416601589471785	0.9627333514125256
temporal	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	29	79889	69811	59.19129074333764	61	0.8501601476023863	0.8945246427956143
temporal	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	30	2283	1689	22.585511888423397	60	0.6798525237318133	0.7769166923118828
temporal	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	31	1709	1376	24.552126113318423	54	0.7732257938776571	0.8286013579788399
temporal	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	32	1297	1077	26.462849730476094	45	0.7883517406885856	0.8562049661186426
temporal	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	33	806	625	27.65565530812359	50	0.7259505096764662	0.8151315789473683
temporal	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	34	1222	970	28.5214677437272	52	0.759379890497196	0.818946995678707
temporal	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	35	1116	880	29.69490952284967	52	0.7516516635602966	0.8164429645425958
temporal	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	36	1294	1019	33.390788489596815	56	0.76152073401946	0.8055019192987759
temporal	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	37	392	288	52.22156412737774	60	0.6873118877478587	0.7746187297454504
temporal	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	38	394	143	24.980641926364896	60	0.3231532589547857	0.4020120183161237
temporal	mondrian_borough	0.95	all	all	12936277	12191997	30.957400794118005	61	0.9397484641390073	0.9451838265624964
temporal	mondrian_borough	0.95	bin	0	2538711	2380054	22.504173672893963	61	0.9312373794995088	0.9440987783729267
temporal	mondrian_borough	0.95	bin	1	1319429	1246747	25.583490869748815	61	0.9412395882166783	0.9485223923254755
temporal	mondrian_borough	0.95	bin	2	1193339	1122138	27.16072684909444	61	0.935124822822879	0.9460619302830092
temporal	mondrian_borough	0.95	bin	3	1390045	1313222	28.21172839781981	61	0.9405837234767914	0.9487364416982956
temporal	mondrian_borough	0.95	bin	4	1105546	1047096	29.03839407761012	61	0.9447532330950337	0.9494791638486405
temporal	mondrian_borough	0.95	bin	5	1177540	1114112	29.958977437037483	61	0.9420494634644206	0.949770351642595
temporal	mondrian_borough	0.95	bin	6	821295	775682	31.05510690507168	61	0.9409300264711209	0.9481610472769415
temporal	mondrian_borough	0.95	bin	7	1245994	1179655	32.53284088278194	61	0.9429474995198409	0.9503676320592537
temporal	mondrian_borough	0.95	bin	8	927343	894622	41.78062964819827	61	0.9597215479894005	0.9695862165496314
temporal	mondrian_borough	0.95	bin	9	1217035	1118669	54.058851652199365	61	0.9119078614524019	0.9262142552919843
temporal	mondrian_borough	0.95	borough	Manhattan	11980859	11292724	28.894137784046315	61	0.9396446250058442	0.9454822495431706
temporal	mondrian_borough	0.95	borough	Brooklyn	116774	111651	47.068887851813244	61	0.9539823304505219	0.9581940388525653
temporal	mondrian_borough	0.95	borough	Queens	828131	777670	58.13015249119355	61	0.9305074681110912	0.9468656473714897