Conformal coverage

Empirical coverage of each conformal method on held-out trips, overall and by bin, borough and hour, with mean interval width (lower end clipped at 0) and a 95% interval from a bootstrap that resamples whole test days (B = 2,000, seed 20190101).

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conformal_coverage, page 54 of 58
schemeTEXT	methodTEXT	levelREAL	group_typeTEXT	group_valueTEXT	tripsINTEGER	coveredINTEGER	mean_widthREAL	daysINTEGER	ci_lowREAL	ci_highREAL
temporal	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	3	1168823	1104710	28.042499830411575	61	0.9411201243838202	0.9487435201932657
temporal	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	4	1042608	988540	28.71141633250667	61	0.9443600363995072	0.9514547230881684
temporal	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	5	1266240	1198541	29.6247373298034	61	0.9434252890618948	0.9497246130663138
temporal	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	6	877407	829376	30.578549593513454	61	0.9410905975366	0.9487710137250751
temporal	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	7	1024360	972363	32.12293216917316	61	0.9449000862769159	0.9525059147575456
temporal	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	8	852521	812281	34.47766118902123	61	0.9496322314664175	0.9551808201270703
temporal	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	9	976843	919164	46.018821802348775	61	0.9365446990141164	0.9452857380743002
temporal	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	10	19800	17120	27.976073558513015	61	0.8485207328250051	0.8833739522709115
temporal	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	11	10195	9432	36.59619036958686	61	0.9172487462037157	0.9325145770857839
temporal	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	12	11499	10488	38.039497627366785	61	0.9042712766272358	0.9190924444013889
temporal	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	13	8191	7209	38.03949762737242	61	0.8649542957039936	0.892722923736757
temporal	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	14	9031	8240	44.56642607717007	61	0.8981949705317311	0.9254908862841127
temporal	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	15	13010	12843	52.806393912911844	61	0.9835947667578202	0.9913550918632835
temporal	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	16	12166	12004	53.72745864483974	61	0.9823411884215167	0.9912352221094156
temporal	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	17	11766	11719	54.887419008201434	61	0.9943661009363605	0.9975080772358754
temporal	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	18	11107	11083	57.05564457500032	61	0.996945213404515	0.9986418011303269
temporal	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	19	10009	9339	59.164827450024696	61	0.9251815406742101	0.9401256230465167
temporal	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	20	67584	60473	32.02861924041834	61	0.8898163713582987	0.899528060820877
temporal	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	21	137085	133862	57.1707379848428	61	0.9684060986275554	0.9822405059471558
temporal	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	22	77022	75674	59.19129074332605	61	0.9788413837803609	0.9859228372912773
temporal	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	23	69203	67278	59.19129074330071	61	0.9632009360205165	0.9798390691882769
temporal	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	24	65234	62310	59.19129074330785	61	0.9398652830085188	0.9688046954167746
temporal	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	25	71692	67326	59.19129074330204	61	0.9208511165395271	0.9538519400364497
temporal	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	26	91305	82474	59.19129074337657	61	0.8861457664308259	0.918152999107812
temporal	mondrian	0.95	borough_bin	27	101312	85667	59.19129074340348	61	0.8127105445584761	0.8731766737540478